New regulations are re-shaping the non-agency MBS market, but economic issues, the ratings process and shifting investor appetite may have more to do with the stalled recovery in the sector, experts said during the American Securitization Forum conference last week in Las Vegas. John Arnholz, a partner at Bingham McCutchen LLP, suggested that the regulators will end up issuing a new proposed rule on risk retention, given the widespread opposition to the original proposal. The proposed premium capture recovery fund idea “came out of nowhere,” he said, adding that there is a good deal of dissent among the six...

While a major regulatory concern of the past few years – the risk-retention rule – has yet to be resolved, the industry is squaring its shoulders for new challenges: the so-called Volcker Rule, a proposal on conflicts of interest in securitization and new bank capital requirements regarding market risk. These projects could do “enormous or irreparable damage to the industry, and entire sectors of the industry could be lopped off,” said Tom Deutsch, executive director of the American Securitization Forum, during the ASF conference last week in Las Vegas. Only about one eighth of the regulatory requirements...

The Obama administration late last week announced that it is extending its Home Affordable Modification Program for another year and sweetening the inducements to get investors to agree to principal reduction loan mods. MBS analysts generally grade the changes as a positive for the non-agency MBS market, but the impact on Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac securities may depend on whether the government-sponsored enterprises agree to principal reductions. The revised HAMP program will now be available for investor-owned mortgages, and it will feature a revised debt-to-income calculation taking into...

Issuance of new non-agency mortgage-backed securities will resume when the financing structure is economical, according to attendees at the American Securitization Forum’s ASF 2012 conference last week in Las Vegas. Just what it will take to make non-agency securitization economical remains to be seen, though some suggest that regulatory uncertainty plays a major factor. “We have not seen much of a test of the non-agency market because it’s not economical,” said Peter Sack, a managing director and co-head of real estate and mortgage finance at Credit Suisse. “The bank portfolio bid is strong.” ...

Redwood Trust’s four non-agency mortgage-backed securities – the latest of which was issued last week – have been generally well received by MBS investors. However, some investors, potential issuers and even the rating services have raised concerns regarding the non-agency MBS ratings process, both for Redwood and for other potential securitizers. A senior official at one of the rating services suggested to Inside Nonconforming Markets that ratings shopping is still occurring, and that the Redwood deals have been rated by the firms with the lowest credit-enhancement requirements ...

Firms participating in the Public-Private Investment Program with a focus on non-agency mortgage-backed securities all took losses in the fourth quarter of 2011 compared with the previous quarter, according to an analysis by Inside Nonconforming Markets. The Oaktree PPIP Fund – which only invests in commercial MBS – was the only public-private investment fund to increase its net internal rate of return since inception in the fourth quarter of 2011, Treasury Department data show. The Treasury cautioned that it is ... [Includes one data chart]

Investors have expressed a keen interest in programs that would facilitate bulk sales of real estate-owned properties. However, few are optimistic that such a program will come to fruition. Based on cost figures provided by Carrington Holding Company, Vincent Fiorillo, a portfolio manager at DoubleLine Capital, suggested investors could easily earn returns of 9.0 percent by renting REO properties. “This is a very attractive alternative investment opportunity,” Fiorillo said at the American Securitization Forum’s ASF 2012 conference last week in Las Vegas ...

A settlement involving major servicers and state attorneys general could be close, as state AGs have until Feb. 6 to agree to a potential $25 billion settlement. Negotiations on the settlement have dragged on for 15 months and were previously slated to end Feb. 3. Ally Financial, Bank of America, Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase and Wells Fargo would reportedly be included in the settlement. Some $17 billion in penalties paid by the banks would go toward principal reductions, $5 billion would go toward a reserve account that would ... [Includes three briefs]

Beginning this month, Ginnie Mae will start assigning alphanumeric IDs for mortgage-backed securities pools because it may soon run out of available pool numbers. In a recent alert to issuers, Ginnie Mae said alphanumeric pool numbers will be assigned first to fixed-rate types. However, issuers must make sure they have used up all their assigned pool numbers before asking for the new letter/number codes. Ginnie Mae advised issuers in 2009 to have their systems ready to accept alphanumeric IDs by March 2010. Meanwhile, MountainView Servicing Group has announced its offering of ...

MBS and ABS markets in the U.S. are increasingly being shaped by global forces, from the impact of the European debt crisis to the worldwide adoption of new international regulatory standards and the surge in Euro securitizations that’s taking up some of the slack from the depressed U.S. non-agency MBS sector. There was an unmistakable international flavor to the ASF 2012 conference sponsored by the American Securitization Forum in Las Vegas this week. A significant number of the more than 5,000 attendees – an ASF record – came from outside the U.S., and numerous panels were devoted to global issues...