The Federal Reserve’s Open Market Committee, as expected, held the line on interest rates this week at its first meeting of 2017, but still presumably stayed on track for multiple increases later in the year. What’s new is a recent resurgence of talk about how the central bank will shrink its massive balance sheet and its huge portfolio of agency MBS and debt, perhaps as early as next year. “In view of realized and expected labor market conditions and inflation, the committee decided to maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 1/2 to 3/4 percent,” the FOMC said. It added that committee members expect that economic conditions will evolve in a manner that will warrant only gradual increases in the federal funds rate. The Fed will...

Societe Generale has agreed to pay $50 million to the Department of Justice to settle civil charges alleging it misled investors by promoting and selling securities backed by badly underwritten mortgage loans. According to the DOJ, the French bank made false representations regarding SG Mortgage Securities Trust 2006-OPT2, a $780 million debt issue it organized more than 10 years ago. As part of the settlement, SocGen admitted that many of the loans in the deal were improperly underwritten and should not have been securitized. For example, the bank admitted...

In 2016, retail sales conducted over the Internet boomed while traffic at America’s shopping malls remained tepid, raising new concerns about CMBS deals where the collateral includes a troubled “anchor” tenant. According to figures compiled by Morningstar, roughly $49 billion of CMBS transactions are backed by regional malls. When the anchor closes, it raises all sorts of concerns about whether the entire mall will be able to survive. (Earlier this year, Sears and Macy’s separately announced they will close a total of 218 stores.) “As online shopping, the diminishing importance of department stores, and store closures all contribute...

There will likely be a notable increase in the issuance of mortgage-backed securities backed by newly originated nonprime mortgages, according to Fitch Ratings. As many as eight firms are looking to join Lone Star Funds in issuing rated deals, though issuance isn’t expected to get anywhere near the levels seen in the run up to the financial crisis. Some $999.5 million in nonprime MBS was issued in 2016, according to the rating service. “Fitch estimates those figures could double in 2017, and ...

Final Civil Action: Primary Residential Mortgage. The Department of Housing and Urban Development’s Office of the Inspector General has recommended that the department’s Office of Legal Counsel acknowledged $3.13 million of a $5 million settlement agreed to by Primary Residential Mortgage is due HUD. Primary agreed last September to a $5 million settlement with the Department of Justice to resolve allegations of failing to comply with FHA requirements in connection with its origination, underwriting and endorsement of 100 FHA-insured loans. Primary’s settlement is neither an admission of guilt nor assumption of any liability that may arise from the flawed transactions, the IG said. As of Oct. 4, 2016, the settlement amount due HUD had been paid in full. Moody’s Downgrades $243 Million of FHA/VA Residential MBS. Moody’s Investors Service has downgraded the ...

Nonbanks continued to grab a larger share of the mortgage servicing business during the fourth quarter of 2016, and the rapid emergence of investor servicers – firms that buy mortgage-servicing rights while tapping other firms to actually administer the pools – promises to bring more change. A new Inside Mortgage Finance ranking and analysis shows that nonbanks that ranked among the top 50 servicers increased their holdings by 6.9 percent during the fourth quarter. Depository institutions among the top 50 servicers reduced their holdings by 1.2 percent during the same period. With Citi, the sixth-largest servicer at the end of 2016, now in the process of selling a large chunk of its MSR assets – in some cases to investors that will use subservicers – the demographics of the industry will change...[Includes two data tables]

Real estate investment trust New Residential Investment Corp. has been quietly trolling for mortgage servicing assets the past year and snagged a big one this week when it agreed to buy $97 billion in agency rights from Citigroup. Now comes the hard part: incorporating the receivables into an already fast-growing portfolio and convincing regulators at the Federal Housing Finance Agency and Ginnie Mae officials that it has both the management structure and the financial wherewithal to handle so much product. According to a tally from Inside Mortgage Finance, since early December New Residential has acquired...

Securitization of commercial mortgages was down slightly in 2016 as a result of a sharp drop in the non-agency commercial MBS market, according to a new Inside MBS & ABS analysis. Meanwhile, the agency multifamily MBS platforms cranked out record new issuance last year. In total, some $209.03 billion of commercial-property MBS were issued last year, a 3.1 percent drop from 2015. It still ranked as the second most-productive year in commercial MBS issuance since 2007, the year before the financial market meltdown. But non-agency CMBS issuance fell...[Includes one data table]

This year, the commercial MBS market will see the influence of the newly effective Securities and Exchange Commission rule on CMBS risk retention, which likely will mean higher credit quality but also a degree of unpredictability when it comes to issuance, according to industry analysts. At Wells Fargo Securities, analysts who cover the CMBS space are forecasting non-agency issuance of $65.0 billion in 2017. “While CMBS issuance has historically grown with the economy, this is not exactly the typical cycle,” they said in a recent client note. “Economic growth has been uneven and property fundamentals seem to be maturing.” Requiring CMBS issuers to retain at least 5 percent of the credit risk adds...

Higher capital charges and the cost of capital associated with risk retention mandated by the Dodd-Frank Act will make commercial MBS less competitive with portfolio lending for loans backed by high-quality collateral, according to a new report from Moody’s Investors Service. The report stems from a Moody’s fourth-quarter 2016 analysis of three conduit transactions that were structured to comply with risk-retention prior to its implementation on Dec. 24, 2016. In each of the transactions, issuers retained 5 percent of either the securities or the collateral pool’s cash flows. In addition, the Moody’s report noted...