Mortgage securitization rates remained at record levels through the third quarter of 2012, with 86.3 percent of primary market originations being financed as MBS, according to a new analysis by Inside MBS & ABS. A total of $1.15 trillion of MBS backed by recently originated loans were issued through the first nine months of the year, soaking up most of the $1.33 trillion in new production during that period. The market is on track to top the record 84.4 percent securitization rate set for the full year back in 2009, after two years in which the rate had drifted somewhat lower. During the third quarter, the securitization rate surged...[Includes one data chart]

Analysts expect the U.S. economic recovery to continue on a slow, weak path into 2013 with the potential for a new recession that could weaken the residential MBS market. At Standard & Poor’s, analysts predict a “slow and uneven” economic recovery with a 15 percent to 20 percent chance of another recession that would be less severe than the 2008-2009 financial crisis but potent enough to sap the MBS market. S&P assumes a reversal in home prices and unemployment rising to near 9 percent in 2013, which could hamper borrower capacity to make their mortgage payments. Overall, S&P’s outlook for the single-family MBS market is...

New issuance of agency MBS jumped dramatically in November, hitting its highest monthly production volume in over three years, according to a new Inside MBS & ABS ranking and analysis. Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Ginnie Mae combined for a whopping $199.34 billion in new single-family MBS during November, a 46.4 percent jump from the previous month. It was the highest monthly agency MBS output since June 2009, when $232.13 billion of MBS were issued. The November surge may reflect...[Includes one data chart]

A new non-agency jumbo MBS from a subsidiary of Credit Suisse Group includes some key differences compared with Redwood Trust deals, while pumping life into the non-agency market. DLJ Mortgage Capital issued a $329.89 million non-agency jumbo MBS late last week via a private placement; it was the company’s third of 2012. CSMC Trust 2012-CIM3 received a AAA rating from Standard & Poor’s with credit enhancement of 5.85 percent on the top-rated tranche. The new Credit Suisse deal included...

A federal court in California recently dismissed claims by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. related to non-agency mortgage-backed securities purchased by a bank in 2007 and 2008. According to the ruling, the FDIC should have filed the lawsuit long ago and tolling did not render the claims as timely. FDIC v Countrywide Financial relates to $62.6 million in AAA-rated Countrywide MBS purchased by Strategic Capital Bank in 2007 and 2008. The FDIC was appointed as receiver of the bank on May 22, 2009 ...

Institutional investors are creating a rental market out of real estate owned properties without a mortgage-backed security structure in place, though industry participants anticipate that a REO rental securitization market will eventually develop. Some $8.0 billion has been raised by institutional investors to purchase REOs and rent them, according to Oliver Chang, founder and managing director of Sylvan Road Capital, which itself expects to invest $1.0 billion in the market in the next two years ...

Ginnie Mae is increasing its scrutiny of issuers and tightening the screening of new issuer applicants to ensure that all participants in its mortgage-backed securities program fulfill their obligations. The agency is concerned about issuers coming in with little understanding of how the program works and what their responsibilities are, and putting Ginnie Mae at risk, said Michael Drayne, senior vice president at Ginnie Mae’s Office of Issuer and Portfolio Management, during a recent webinar hosted by Inside Mortgage Finance. Drayne noted Ginnie Mae’s success, saying that the only way it would not be profitable is ...

Mortgage-backed securities production by the top Ginnie Mae issuers in the third quarter of 2012 slipped but not by enough to offset the 32.1 percent gain on a year-over-year basis, according to an Inside FHA Lending analysis of Ginnie Mae data. Ginnie Mae MBS issuance fell by a mere 0.1 percent from the second quarter, a hiccup that would have been easily cured had any of the top five issuers posted even a modest gain. All five issuers saw their issuances fall during the quarter. The top issuers reported a total of $100.57 billion in MBS sold to investors at the end of the third quarter, down from $100.62 billion the previous quarter. The slip disrupted an ...

Thanks to the Federal Reserve’s aggressive support for the agency mortgage market and continuing strength in the refinance program for underwater Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac borrowers, mortgage refi activity has accounted for 73.1 percent of 2012’s surging production volume. But home-purchase lending started to regain some market share during the third quarter of 2012, according to a new Inside Mortgage Finance ranking and analysis. An estimated $143 billion of home-purchase mortgages were originated during the third quarter, up 10.9 percent from the previous three-month period. By comparison, refinance production was up just 2.8 percent from the second quarter. The purchase-mortgage sector still has...[Includes three data charts]

Department of Housing and Urban Development Secretary Shaun Donovan said this week HUD is considering additional steps to improve the financial health of the FHA single-family program, including raising FICO score requirements and supporting legislation that would take the FHA loan limits back to pre-crisis levels. The HUD secretary found himself in the hot seat before the Senate Committee on Banking, Housing and Urban Development, explaining the results of a recent actuarial audit that placed the FHA’s Mutual Mortgage Insurance Fund capital reserve ratio below zero at negative 1.44 percent, representing a negative economic value of $16.3 billion. Sen. Richard Shelby, R-AL, ranking minority member of the committee, raised...