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Transition Away from GSEs Likely to Take at Least 10 Years with Non-Agency Funding Difficult to Raise Quickly

February 21, 2014
The capital markets risk-sharing transactions completed by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac in the past year are seen by some as a model for reform of the government-sponsored enterprises. However, the GSEs are taking on significantly more risk in the transactions than the non-agency first-loss requirements contemplated in legislation pending in Congress. Analysts at Barclays Capital project that after Congress approves mortgage-finance reform legislation, it would take at least 10 years to transition smoothly to a new system. Bills in Congress contemplate a five-year transition timeline, but raising enough private capital to fund the new system in that timeframe could be difficult. Industry analysts predict...
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Fed Researchers: Quantitative Easing Achieved The Goal of Lowering Yields on Agency MBS

February 21, 2014
Researchers at the Federal Reserve determined that, contrary to “the prevailing view in economics literature,” quantitative easing initiatives by the Fed over the past few years had an impact on the pricing and yields for agency MBS. In a new study, Fed analysts Diana Hancock and Wayne Passmore found that the central bank’s purchases of Treasury securities and agency MBS since 2008 lowered MBS yields and mortgage interest rates by more than what would have been suggested by changes in market expectations alone. Hancock and Passmore said...
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Investors Pony Up for MI Stocks, But FHFA Has Yet to Unveil New ‘Eligibility’ Standards

February 20, 2014
Investors of all different stripes have been increasing their stakes in several publicly traded mortgage insurance firms of late, betting that this recovering corner of the residential finance industry has more gas in the fuel tank. Among those buying into MI stocks is Paulson & Co., the legendary hedge fund that made $15 billion by shorting publicly traded subprime firms via the ABX Index in the run-up to the housing bust. Paulson & Co. recently increased...
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Short Takes: MBA Speakers Go Chicken Little on MSR Transfers / But That Was Then / Essent Doesn’t Impress Everyone / Good News on Delinquencies? Maybe / Is Seterus a Buyer?

February 20, 2014
Paul Muolo
So, will banks stop selling MSRs because of the CFPB? Don’t bet on it. The sales process will just take longer.
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Private MIs Finish Banner Year With Further Gain in Market Penetration; FHA Comeback?

February 20, 2014
Private mortgage insurers provided primary coverage on $41.59 billion of mortgages originated during the fourth quarter of 2013, according to a new Inside Mortgage Finance ranking and analysis. While that was down 29.6 percent from the third quarter, it also represented the deepest private MI penetration of new originations in five years. Private MI coverage – including existing insurance transferred to new loans originated under the Home Affordable Refinance Program – accounted for 13.6 percent of new mortgages produced in the fourth quarter. That was the highest private MI share of new originations since the first quarter of 2008, when it was 14.7 percent. HARP continued...[Includes three data charts]
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Wall Street Asks SEC to Revise Proposed Disclosures for Non-Agency MBS

February 20, 2014
Brandon Ivey
The SEC was poised to issue a final rule with loan-level disclosure requirements for non-agency MBS earlier this month. The SFIG said it expects the SEC will issue a final rule on the so-called Regulation AB2 “in the near future.”
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Treasury Memo From 2010 Cites Obama’s Intent to Block GSE Shareholders from Profits

February 19, 2014
Charles Wisniowski
Public mention of the Treasury memo was first made earlier this month by former Solicitor General Ted Olson at a GSE shareholders rights advocacy forum in Washington.
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31 Percent of Lenders Will Keep All of Their ‘New’ MSRs

February 19, 2014
Paul Muolo
The survey, conducted through the IMF website, also found that 35 percent of participants plan to sell “some” of their MSRs, but only as needed.
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Parkside Lending Sees Rewards in Non-QMs

February 19, 2014
Brandon Ivey
The firm recently launched Parkside Mortgage Trust, a REIT that will purchase non-agency loans originated by its affiliate.
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Short Takes: Houlihan Lokey Beefs Up Mortgage M&A Staff / Parent of Warehouse Bank in Play / Essent Doubles MI Policies Written / Luxury Mortgage Sold / Jumbo MBS Investors Benefit From Declining Refis

February 19, 2014
Paul Muolo and Brandon Ivey
Matt Monahan is expected to aid HL as it tries to take advantage of a red hot market for servicing sales. A former deal maker at Cohane Rafferty Securities, he will beef-up HL’s mortgage sales force.
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