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Dismal Short-Term Outlook for Prime Jumbo Market But Some Optimism in the Long Term, Says DBRS

June 5, 2015
The dreary state of the prime jumbo mortgage securitization market will continue for the short term but there’s a silver lining around the bend, according to an analysis by rating agency DBRS. Despite last year’s downturn, the jumbo prime market has seen steady growth in the last five years. In 2010, Sequoia Mortgage ended the drought in the non-agency MBS with a $478.1 million deal backed by newly originated prime jumbo loans. There have been...
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Soon Arriving: Disclosure of Third-Party Due Diligence Results

June 5, 2015
Brandon Ivey
Industry analysts suggest that the rule will prompt a number of changes in the MBS and ABS markets.
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What We’re Hearing: PHH Wondering ‘Who Moved My Mortgage Cheese’? / PLS Implications: What Does Merrill Lynch Think? / IMA Offers $2 Billion of MSRs / Piercy on MSRs: Buy Now / Ginnie About to Catch up with Fannie? What?

June 5, 2015
Paul Muolo
The CFPB case likely won’t make Merrill Lynch feel good about PHH, but we could be wrong. The two go way back…
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Short Takes: Another Black Eye for Reverses?/ John Devaney, an Ocwen ‘Bull’ / BB&T Gets Green Light on M&A / Quicken Wins One Against ‘The Man’ / New Hires for Essent

June 4, 2015
George Brooks, Brandon Ivey, and Paul Muolo
You might say that investor (and former Wall Streeter) John Devaney is bullish on Ocwen Financial...
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Refinancing Dominated First-Quarter Originations, But Purchase Market Has Started Coming Back

June 4, 2015
Refinance lending fueled the growth in mortgage originations during the first quarter of 2015, although new data suggest that the purchase-mortgage sector is taking hold. Mortgage lenders originated an estimated $221.0 billion of refi loans during the first quarter, an increase of 51.4 percent from a revised fourth-quarter production estimate of $146.0 billion. Inside Mortgage Finance refi and purchase-mortgage estimates for all four quarters of 2014 were revised to reflect just first-lien mortgage originations. Refi loans accounted...[Includes three data tables]
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Ginnie Mae Cautiously Embraces New Entrants Despite Lingering Doubts

June 4, 2015
John Bancroft
Meanwhile, the pipeline of issuer applications has dropped dramatically at Ginnie Mae...
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Speculators’ Bets Against Public Mortgage Firms Easing Up; A Dangerous Time to Short Ocwen, Walter, Nationstar?

June 4, 2015
Over the past year speculators have placed some heavy bets against certain publicly traded mortgage companies by shorting their stocks, a “trade” that could be petering out as investors take their money off the table. According to investors and analysts who track companies such as Nationstar Mortgage, Ocwen Financial and Walter Investment Management, the share price of all three has fallen so dramatically that the days of easy profits are over. Ocwen, for example, presently trades...[Includes one data table]
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Citadel Launches a Nonprime Second-Lien Product, But Don’t Expect Other Nonbanks to Join the Party

June 4, 2015
Citadel Loan Servicing this week rolled out something the residential market hasn’t seen in quite some time: a nonprime second lien from a nonbank. But don’t expect a groundswell of copycat loans. Moreover, it’s doesn’t appear that Citadel’s bold move is likely to ignite the return of nonbanks to producing second liens of any type – whether it’s a closed-end second or a line of credit. Anecdotal evidence suggests...
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The Cost of Privatizing the GSEs: Higher Mortgage Rates. But How Much Higher?

June 3, 2015
Brandon Ivey
If Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac were privatized, they would likely have to increase their capital from current levels and face increased borrowing costs.
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MBA: Residential Origination Profits Almost Doubled in 1Q15

June 3, 2015
Paul Muolo
The findings were based on results supplied by 359 residential originators.
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