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Impact of Higher Interest Rates Unclear

July 10, 2015
For the non-agency market, the impact of anticipated action by the Federal Reserve on short-term interest rates depends on whether interest rates on mortgages also increase, according to industry analysts. Industry participants continue to wait for the Fed to increase the federal funds rate and ponder the impact higher rates will have on originations and performance. “The effect of an interest rate increase on new residential mortgage-backed security transactions will ...
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Servicers Make Progress on Settlements

July 10, 2015
Servicers involved in national settlements are largely in compliance and making progress toward completing their loss-mitigation requirements, according to reports released in the past two weeks. Joseph Smith, the monitor of a settlement involving non-agency mortgage-backed securities that requires JPMorgan Chase to complete $4.0 billion in credited loss mitigation, said that as of the end of 2014, Chase was credited with $3.32 billion in relief ...
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Issuance of Government-Backed Ginnie MBS Increases in 2Q15

July 10, 2015
Ginnie Mae issuance of government-insured mortgage-backed securities rose a whopping 47.3 percent in the second quarter of 2015 from the previous quarter, powered by a robust FHA refinancing volume, according to an Inside FHA/VA Lending analysis of agency data. Government-backed Ginnie MBS production in the second quarter totaled $117.5 billion, up from $79.8 billion in the prior quarter. Volume year-to-date also increased by 57.7 percent from the first six months of last year. From May to June, government-backed securitization increased a modest 2.9 percent. FHA loans comprised 62.6 percent of Ginnie MBS issuance in the second quarter while VA accounted for 33.7 percent. Securitized loans with a Rural Housing Service guaranty represented 3.6 percent of total Ginnie MBS issuance during the period. FHA loan securitization was robust in the second quarter, as volume ... [ Charts ]
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As Rates Rise Servicing Values Begin to Firm Up, But Prices Have Come Down From Peaks Seen Last Year

July 9, 2015
Thanks to the recent uptick in interest rates, sellers of mortgage servicing rights are seeing strong bids on new production, but the market is being described by advisors as “sustainable,” compared to some of the frothy peaks of last year. June was actually a slow month for servicing sales, dealmakers told Inside Mortgage Finance, but that was to be expected, given all the contracts inked in April and May that needed time to close. With the second quarter having just ended, several large flow and bulk MSR transactions are...
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Bad News for the Non-Agency MBS Revival: Issuance Slumped in 2Q15

July 9, 2015
John Bancroft
The worst news: Prime jumbo MBS issuance fell 32.5 percent from the first quarter to the second.
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OCC Still Worries About Small Banks Holding Residential MBS

July 9, 2015
Brandon Ivey
“After the ‘taper tantrum’ you had a whole bunch of institutions that got annihilated when the 10-year Treasury rate moved," said analyst Christophe Whalen of KBRS.
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Moderate Growth for Subservicers in 1Q15; Tougher Regulatory Regime Is Benefitting Nonbanks

July 9, 2015
The nation’s subservicers increased their contracts to a record high $1.350 trillion at March 31 as tougher regulations continued to play a key role in the shifting of processing chores away from depositories to nonbanks. On a sequential basis, contracts increased by 7.1 percent in the first quarter and 14.4 percent compared to March 31, 2014, according to a new Inside Mortgage Finance ranking. Only four banks – Flagstar, Cenlar, Wells Fargo and Bank of America – were among the top 20 subservicers. Overall, at March 31, subservicers were...[Includes one data table]
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Despite Rising House Prices and Higher Rates, Housing Remains Affordable But Underwriting Crimps Originations

July 9, 2015
Home prices remain below their peak levels and mortgage interest rates are well below where they were prior to the financial crisis. However, mortgage originations since 2008 have been significantly below the levels seen in years prior as tight underwriting standards have limited production. “Home prices are still very affordable by historical standards, despite increases over the last three years,” the Urban Institute’s Housing Finance Policy Center noted in a recent report. “Even if interest rates rose to 6.00 percent, affordability would be at the long term historical average.” Black Knight Financial Services added...
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Surveys Show Consumers Have Low Confidence in Their Home-Buying Skills

July 9, 2015
Potential homeowners may be talking themselves out of the American dream, according to several recent surveys that show consumers underestimate their ability to get a mortgage. A Genworth survey of more than 100 lending executives found that 66 percent said eligible borrowers mistakenly think they don’t qualify for a mortgage. In a similar survey on consumer’s views on homeownership, Wells Fargo reported...
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Forget Greece. China’s Woes Could Shape Mortgage Rates, MBS Prices

July 9, 2015
Paul Muolo
“The Greek crisis already has taken a toll on MBS and still poses a sizeable risk to performance,” according to a new report from Deutsche Bank Securities.
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