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Commercial Mortgage Securitization Took a Tumble in 2Q16; Non-Agency Issuance Hits Four-Year Low

July 29, 2016
John Bancroft
Conduit deals issued in the second half of this year will benefit the most from spread tightening…
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Rate Plunge at End of 2Q16 Means GSEs Likely Took Hits on Their Derivatives; But Strong G-Fee Revenue May Soften the Blow

July 29, 2016
Paul Muolo
Next week, the GSEs will release 2Q results and all eyes will be on the line item that reveals the net gain or loss from their derivatives, the instruments the two use to hedge their MBS positions.
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Commercial Mortgage Securitization Slumped in 2Q16 as Non-Agency Issuance Hits Four-Year Low

July 29, 2016
New issuance of non-agency commercial MBS fell dramatically during the second quarter of 2016, more than offsetting a modest uptick in the production of agency multifamily MBS, according to a new Inside MBS & ABS analysis. Non-agency CMBS issuance fell to just $12.87 billion in the second quarter, a 29.5 percent drop from the first three months of the year. It was the lowest quarterly output of new CMBS since the second quarter of 2012, when just $10.63 billion of new securities were issued and the market was still finding its legs after the financial meltdown. New CMBS issuance has been...[Includes one data table]
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Two Harbors, Five Oaks Exit Jumbo Mortgage Conduit Business, Citing Challenges Buying Loans and Issuing MBS

July 29, 2016
Two Harbors Investment and Five Oaks Investment separately announced plans to end their jumbo mortgage conduit operations due to profitability issues. “We believe that current and expected mortgage market conditions and competitive pressures will prevent us from growing this business to a scale that meets our long-term goals and financial expectations,” said Thomas Siering, Two Harbors’ president and CEO. The Two Harbors announcement came...
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Rate Plunge at End of 2Q16 Means GSEs Likely Took Large Hedging Losses; Strong G-Fee Revenue May Soften the Blow

July 29, 2016
When rates plunge at the end of a given quarter – as they did in June – it usually translates into large hedging losses for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. But this time around, there seems to be less chatter about the topic – and a reduced level of anxiety. Next week, both government-sponsored enterprises will release second-quarter results and all eyes will be on the line item that reveals the net gain or loss from their derivatives, the instruments the two use to hedge their MBS positions. In the first quarter of this year, Freddie posted...
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Plenty of Liquidity for Agency Mortgages Under Current Framework for GSEs; Reform Efforts Remain Unclear

July 29, 2016
Lenders originating agency mortgages are seeing plenty of demand in the secondary market, according to panelists at the California Mortgage Bankers Association’s Western Secondary Market Conference this week in San Francisco. “Capital is searching for a home,” said Rob Branthover, a managing director at Mortgage Industry Advisory Corp. He noted that many investors are focusing on agency mortgages. Mike Duncan, a senior hedge manager at Compass Analytics, said...
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Fitch Predicts Rough Sailing for Servicers in the Coming Months Due to Low Rates, Brexit Impact

July 29, 2016
Troubled waters are ahead for mortgage servicers as 12 of the 27 largest rated shops experienced portfolio declines in the first quarter of 2016, according to Fitch Ratings. Fitch data showed modest portfolio declines for the five banks and seven nonbanks, ranging from less than 1 percent to a little more than 6 percent. Nonbanks, totaling 17, outnumbered the banks. Statebridge Co. experienced...
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Ohio Retirement Fund Lawsuit Reinstated Over Freddie Mac Subprime Loan Claims

July 29, 2016
The Sixth U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals overturned a lower court decision that had cleared Freddie Mac of charges that it misled investors about its involvement in the subprime mortgage market. The lawsuit was filed in 2008 by the Ohio Public Employees Retirement System, which claimed Freddie made false public financial statements that hid its exposure to risky loans. The fund alleged that it lost more than $27.2 million as the value of Freddie stock plummeted. OPERS said...
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More of the Same on Interest Rates from the FOMC, Expect Perhaps One Small Raise at Year End, at Best

July 29, 2016
Look for the Federal Reserve to repeat last year’s performance and raise interest rates one quarter of one percent in December, according to some supporters and critics of the U.S. central bank, enabling the Fed to say it did, in fact, lift interest rates this year. During its meeting in Washington, DC, this week, the Fed once again, as expected, opted to hold rates unchanged and did not tip its hand about a future move, although some market participants came away with the impression an increase in September is a little more likely than had been the case after the central bank’s last meeting. The Federal Reserve’s Open Market Committee last raised...
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Still No Non-Agency MBS from SoFi, but Marketplace Lender Readies Second ABS Backed by Consumer Loans

July 29, 2016
Marketplace lender Social Finance is preparing to issue a $480.55 million ABS backed by unsecured consumer loans, its second such deal to date. So far, 10 of its 12 securitizations have used student loans as collateral. According to a report by DBRS, SCLP 2016-2 consists of $425.88 million of class A notes and $54.67 million of B notes. The package is expected to price early next week, but at press time no information was available regarding the coupons. The class A notes received...
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