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Agency MBS Issuance Up Sharply in 4Q11; Ginnie and Freddie See Shifts in Market Share

January 13, 2012
Agency single-family MBS issuance ended 2011 with a bang as the three agencies jostled for market share, a new Inside MBS & ABS analysis reveals. Ginnie Mae and Freddie Mac ended the year with nearly identical total issuance, with Freddie seeing a slightly larger decline from 2010 levels. Fannie Mae, however, recorded a much smaller drop in total production last year, boosting its share of the agency market. Freddie could not keep pace with Fannie’s surging MBS issuance volume during the fourth quarter. In December, Freddie accounted for just 22.7 percent of combined production by the two...
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Redwood Readies First Jumbo MBS Deal Of 2012, Slightly Higher Credit Support

January 13, 2012
Redwood Trust is getting ready to issue its first jumbo MBS of 2012 backed by a more diverse pool of prime mortgages than the company’s previous transaction. Fitch Ratings said it plans to give AAAsf ratings to the senior bonds in Sequoia Mortgage Trust 2012-1, which will enjoy 8.25 percent credit enhancement from subordinate classes. That’s a stiffer credit enhancement level than on Redwood’s two jumbo deals from last year, which had 7.40 percent and 7.50 percent support levels at issuance. Two factors appeared to play the biggest part in the higher credit support levels: more diverse collateral and more...
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Freddie Tops in Agency REMIC Production For 2011, Goldman Leads in Underwriting

January 13, 2012
Freddie Mac had a difficult time keeping up with Fannie Mae and Ginnie Mae in mortgage pass-through production last year, but the government-sponsored enterprise continued to out-produce the other agencies in structured mortgage securitizations. Freddie issued a total of $154.7 billion in single-family real estate mortgage investment conduits in 2011, which represented 41.0 percent of the agency REMIC market. While the overall market was down 17.8 percent from the previous year, Freddie increased its REMIC issuance by 24.7 percent. Fannie managed a modest 1.6 percent increase from the...
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SEC Changes Policy to Require Defendants to Admit Wrongdoing if They’ve Pled Guilty in Parallel Case

January 13, 2012
The Securities and Exchange Commission has adopted a modified policy that will require defendants in settlement agreements to admit to wrongdoing if they have already pled guilty in parallel criminal cases. “Following a review by senior enforcement staff that began this spring and separate discussions with the commissioners over the last several months, last week we modified our settlement language for cases involving criminal convictions where a defendant has admitted violations of the criminal law,” said SEC Enforcement Director Robert Khuzami.The new policy does not require admissions...
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Federal Reserve Policy Paper Cites ‘Substantial’ Costs To Principal Reduction While Benefits ‘Hard to Quantify’

January 13, 2012
Reducing monthly payments to a sustainable level for distressed borrowers who are significantly underwater on their mortgages may require principal reductions, in addition to interest rate concessions and loan term extensions, but pursuing such a policy is not without significant drawbacks, according to a Federal Reserve analysis. In a white paper sent to the banking committees on Capitol Hill last week, the Fed dove into the controversial issue of whether Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac should be taking more aggressive steps like principal reduction to help distressed borrowers and shore up...
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Subprime and Prime Mortgage Performance Trends Coming More in Line as Collateral Ages

January 13, 2012
The aging of the subprime and prime mortgages that back the shrinking universe of non-agency MBS is gradually changing the performance trends of these loans, according to analysts speaking at a Fitch Ratings conference in New York this week. Selection bias – changes in the composition of the remaining subprime and prime mortgage pools as borrowers default or refinance – will mean different things for different asset classes, but differences between the two will likely become less pronounced over the next year, analysts said. Grant Bailey, a managing director at Fitch, explained that in many ways...
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Prepayments Slow Down as Refis Decline in December, New HARP Will Boost Paydowns in 2012, Analysts Say

January 13, 2012
Despite lower mortgage rates, MBS prepayment speeds slowed across the board in December, particularly for the recent low coupons, while speeds for higher coupons were up slightly, according to securitization analysts. Researchers varied slightly in their estimates, saying speeds for 30-year Fannie Mae securities slowed 2-6 conditional prepayment rate for the recent low coupons (3.5-4.5 percent from 2011 and 2010). Barclays Capital analysts attributed the slowdown to reduced refinancing activity during the December holiday season. The weighted average CPR for all Fannie Mae MBS declined to...
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GSE MBS Business Booms in Late 2011

January 13, 2012
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac issued $261.59 billion in single-family mortgage-backed securities during the fourth quarter of 2011, a booming 47.6 percent improvement from a modest third quarter that followed two straight quarterly declines during the first six months of 2011.The recently completed October-December cycle represented the highest quarterly production level of the year, but it still came up 21.2 percent short of the volume generated during the fourth quarter of 2010.For the year, GSE single-family securitizations were down 12.7 percent from the volume generated during 2010.
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FHLBanks Retain Preference for Agency MBS

January 13, 2012
The Federal Home Loan Banks continue to show an investment preference for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac mortgage-backed securities during the third quarter of 2011, posting a modest increase from the previous quarter, according to a new analysis by Inside The GSEs based on data from the Federal Housing Finance Agency.Ginnie Mae securities, meanwhile, remained popular within the FHLBank system during the three-month period ending Sept. 30, 2011.GSE MBS accounted for 68.9 percent of combined FHLBank MBS portfolios, up 1.7 percent from the second quarter of 2011. The Finance Agency’s data do not separately break out Fannie and Freddie volume or share.
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Fed’s Mortgage Policy Rampage Raises Eyebrows, Underscores Persistence of Housing Recession

January 12, 2012
It started last week with an unsolicited white paper outlining “a framework for thinking about certain issues and tradeoffs that policymakers might consider” and blossomed into a coordinated assault by the Federal Reserve on the housing slump that won’t go away. Having purchased over $1 trillion in mortgage securities in an effort to drive mortgage interest rates to all-time lows, the Fed appears to be using its speechmaking and paper-writing powers to try to get the rest of Washington moving on housing. In addition to the policy paper, Fed officials in the past week have made three speeches on...
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