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Fannie and Freddie are About to Provide a Nice Revenue Gift to Trump Administration

January 23, 2017
Paul Muolo
In 2016, Fannie and Freddie guaranteed $973.72 billion of single-family loans, an 18.1 percent improvement from the year prior.
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The Final Tally: ABS Issuance Was Just About Flat in 2016

January 20, 2017
John Bancroft
Santander Consumer USA was the most active issuer of vehicle ABS…
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Despite Some Rebound in Credit Cards and Student Loans, ABS Issuance Was Flat in 2016

January 20, 2017
A soft fourth quarter resulted in a modest uptick in non-mortgage ABS in 2016, according to a new Inside MBS & ABS ranking and analysis. A few sectors posted solid gains, however. The market produced $174.71 billion of new ABS last year, up just 0.6 percent from the total for 2015. New issuance turned decidedly soft in the fourth quarter with only $34.24 billion in volume. That was down 36.7 percent from the previous period and represented the second-lowest quarterly output since the third quarter of 2012. All the major components of the ABS market saw...[Includes two data tables]
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Moody’s Settles Pre-Crisis Rating Charges for $864 Million; SEC Cites Rating Services for More Recent Problems

January 20, 2017
Moody’s Investors Service agreed to a $863.79 million settlement with the Department of Justice, 21 states and Washington, DC, late last week. The settlement focused on rating activities between 2004 and 2010 involving residential MBS and collateralized debt obligations. According to the settlement, Moody’s used an internal ratings model for most tranches of certain residential MBS that was more lenient than its published guidelines, allowing for lower credit enhancement levels than what the published guidelines required. The internal model was based...
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Freddie Mac Talking to IRS About Tax Issues Tied to the Single Security. Is the ‘Float’ Taxable?

January 20, 2017
John Bancroft
One issue is the tax treatment of compensation that MBS investors receive for converting legacy Freddie participation certificates…
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Good News/Bad News on MBS Trading Volume: With MBS Prices Falling, No Place to Sell?

January 20, 2017
The average daily trading volume in agency MBS fell to $192.1 billion in December, the lowest reading of the year, according to the Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association. For the full year, however, average daily trading volume in agency product came to $206.6 billion, compared to $193.0 billion in 2015 and $178.0 billion in 2014. The last time trading volume was higher than in 2016 came three years earlier when $222.8 billion in agency product was traded on a daily basis. What the numbers actually mean is...
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GSEs Working on Accounting, Tax Issues Likely To Emerge in the Transition to Single Security

January 20, 2017
Freddie Mac has begun talking with the Internal Revenue Service and the Securities and Exchange Commission about issues that are likely to crop up as the two government-sponsored enterprises implement the new Single Security, according to a summary of the most recent meeting of the Industry Advisory Group in December. One issue is the tax treatment of compensation that MBS investors receive for converting legacy Freddie participation certificates for the new uniform MBS, which will have a longer payment delay. “Although it is not definitive, we believe the IRS will ultimately view the float compensation as well as any incentive payment that is paid as part of the exchanges as taxable income when received,” the meeting summary states. Freddie provided...
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Investor Cuts Stake in the Nation’s Largest Mortgage REIT Annaly as Rising Rates Cause Nervousness

January 20, 2017
International Value Advisors recently cut its stake in Annaly Capital Management – the nation’s largest mortgage real estate investment trust – by roughly half, a development that could be repeated by other investors as rising rates cause new concerns about MBS prices. At year-end, International owned 4.55 percent of Annaly compared to 9.60 percent a year earlier. Annaly’s largest investment is in agency MBS, of which it owned $73.5 billion at Sept. 30. The publicly traded REIT is...
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GSE Shareholder Case Outlook, Will the Trump Administration Make a Difference?

January 20, 2017
As a number of shareholder lawsuits against Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac hang in the balance, a new administration offers reasons for some to be optimistic on the cases coming to a close and the Treasury’s sweep of the government-sponsored enterprises’ profits coming to an end. During a Jan. 18 call hosted by Investors Unite, legal experts weighed in on the outlook for GSE shareholder cases just days before the inauguration. Plaintiffs have been arguing that a government bailout of the GSEs and the subsequent Treasury sweep was unnecessary and illegal. “As GSE shareholders, we are...
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Ratings Services Optimistic on RMBS Sector, But Participants See Trump as Wild Card

January 20, 2017
The residential MBS market is expected to be healthy this year, according to some ratings service analysts. But the new president is the big unknown, market participants say. According to analysts at Fitch Ratings, the rating outlook for U.S. RMBS they rate is auspicious, as they expect asset performance trends to stay positive thanks to support from solid, if somewhat uneven, gains in home prices. “Although a number of legacy transactions continue to face negative rating pressure due to declining loan counts and tail risk, rating upgrades outnumbered...
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