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Lenders Expect VA Refis to Drop in 2017, Rising Demand for Purchase

January 20, 2017
VA originations have been trending upward over several quarters, thanks to an unusually heavy share of refinance business, but all good things, at some point, must slow down, lenders say. The refinance business overall has fallen to 45 percent from 55 percent in the fourth quarter of 2016, and that will have an effect on VA originations in the first quarter of 2017, said Andy May, chief operating officer of the American Armed Forces Mutual Aid Association Mortgage Division. Going forward, May expects VA originations to fall by 10 percent in the first quarter due to rising interest rates. But even though rates have been trending up, May saw an uptick in VA loan applications in January as fence-sitters jumped into the market to take out a loan before rates went any higher. “The MBA estimates rates will rise above 5 percent in the next 24 months and then down to 4.8 percent by the end of 2018, and up to 5.3 percent at the ...
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HFAs to Benefit from FHA Premium Cut, Wage Growth Says Moody’s

January 20, 2017
The 25-basis-point decrease in the FHA’s annual insurance premiums translates not only to annual savings for homeowners but also boosts the competitiveness of housing finance agency loan products, according to a new report from Moody’s Investors Service. The report regards the latest FHA pricing adjustment as credit positive for housing finance agencies (HFAs) because it would make FHA loans more affordable to borrowers and increase HFA loan originations. The announcement to reduce the annual mortgage insurance premium to its lowest allowable level took stakeholders by surprise. In November, FHA had no plans to lower premiums despite an uplifting actuarial report on the condition of the Mutual Mortgage Insurance Fund. This week, however, there is uncertainty as to whether the Trump administration will allow the reduced premiums to take effect for new loans closing on or after ...
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If Trump Cuts Corporate Taxes, Fannie and Freddie Might Need a Treasury Draw

January 19, 2017
Brandon Ivey
Antonio Weiss, counselor to the secretary of the Treasury Department, cautioned that any reduction to the corporate tax rate could prompt a draw from Treasury funds by the GSEs.
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The Beat Goes On. Banks Backpedal from Agency Servicing Market in 4Q16, Especially Ginnie Sector

January 19, 2017
The evolution of the agency mortgage-servicing market isn’t over, though it appears to have settled into a long-term transition by attrition. At the end of 2016, depository institutions serviced some $3.584 trillion of single-family home loans committed to mortgage-backed securities guaranteed by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Ginnie Mae. That was down 1.0 percent from September, a period during which the supply of agency MBS debt outstanding was growing. The depository share of agency MBS servicing fell...[Includes two data tables]
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Treasury Nominee Mnuchin Shoots Down GSE ‘Recap and Release’ Concept

January 19, 2017
Carisa Chappell
In general, the Treasury nominee said his goal is to find a “bipartisan solution” to Fannie and Freddie...
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GSE MBS Volume Hit a 3-Year High in 2016

January 18, 2017
John Bancroft
Although heavy refinancing activity accounted for the fourth-quarter uptick in MBS issuance, 2016 was also a strong purchase-mortgage market…
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Deutsche Bank’s $7.2 Billion Settlement with DOJ the Largest Residential MBS Action Against a Single Entity

January 18, 2017
Brandon Ivey
DB was faulted for failing to disclose second liens on mortgages in MBS and for concealing refreshed credit scores that were worse that the credit scores disclosed to investors.
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Real Estate Investors Get Invited to Fannie Mae Meeting. The Topic: SFR Loans

January 18, 2017
Carisa Chappell
The invitation to the SFR meeting provided some hope to real estate investors, who have a hard time obtaining financing...
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Short Takes: Time to Worry About ‘Deferred Tax Assets’? / Good News or Bad News? / A ‘Conceptual Exercise’ / Sen. Elizabeth Warren Won’t be in Attendance / New PAC Chief for MBA

January 18, 2017
Paul Muolo and Brandon Ivey
One mortgage insurance lobbyist, when informed of the possibility, called it “great news” while two lenders we interviewed said it was an awful development…
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Correspondent Share of GSE Business Edged Higher in 4Q16; Brokers Slumped

January 17, 2017
John Bancroft
United Shore Financial Services was the top seller of broker loans by a wide margin, with $5.83 billion in fourth-quarter activity, more than twice its nearest competitor…
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