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How Much Longer Can Hedge Funds Hold on to Their GSE Stock Wagers?

March 3, 2017
Late last month, Fairholme Capital chief Bruce Berkowitz sent out a press release reassuring his shareholders that the hedge fund’s bet on owning the junior preferred stock of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac will prevail, eventually. Among other things, the veteran equity-fund manager extolled the government-sponsored enterprises’ massive fourth quarter profits of almost $10 billion, called them “indispensable” to the mortgage insurance industry and reminded readers they continue to fulfill “their historic role of insuring adequate levels of liquidity to lenders of all sizes.” He also mentioned...
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Can Blockchain Technology Benefit Securitization? SFIG, Chamber of Digital Commerce Say Yes

March 3, 2017
Can a technology that helped bring the cryptocurrency Bitcoin into being enhance the securitization markets? The Structured Finance Industry Group and the Chamber of Digital Commerce think so and have partnered to help make it happen. According to Perianne Boring, founder and president of the CDC, which bills itself as the world’s largest trade association representing the blockchain industry, “The securitization process is an ideal candidate for the efficiencies of distributed ledger technology. “Blockchain platforms create...
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Fannie’s Second Front-End Credit Risk-Sharing Deal Much Larger than First, GSEs Mull Other Forms

March 3, 2017
Fannie Mae announced its second deal using credit insurance risk transfer on the front end of the transaction. Most of the government-sponsored enerprise’s CIRT transactions have involved insurance contracts on pools of loans that have already been securitized. The new front-end CIRT deal will shift a portion of the credit risk on about $15 billion worth of single-family loans, significantly larger than Fannie’s first test of the structure back in October, which involved about $3.7 billion of single-family loans. This CIRT, like the first one, will be...
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Pressure on Capital, Dividends Remains as MBS Settlements Linger for Foreign Banks, Says Fitch

March 3, 2017
The threat of large, unpredictable settlements are looming over several European banks that have not yet resolved their remaining MBS lawsuits, putting pressure on their earnings and capital, according to a new Fitch Ratings report. Uncertainty about the scale of penalties from legacy MBS lawsuits will compel the affected banks to continue being cautious about managing and retaining capital, and distributing dividends. Though most of the banks have strengthened their capital positions considerably since the financial crisis, there would be no rest for them until the last settlement dime has been paid, the report indicated. Bank settlements with U.S. agencies relating to fraud investigations of their roles in the financial crisis, specifically their legacy MBS business, have...
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What We’re Hearing: What We Talk About When We Talk About Financial Lunacy / Should Apple Buy Fannie and Freddie? / The Coming Boom in Mortgage Delinquencies in the Washington, DC, Area / FannieMae.com?

March 3, 2017
Paul Muolo
Go figure: An "app" company called Snap that may never make a nickel is now worth more than Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac...
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Jumbo MBS Issuers Prosper in Small Market, Growth Not Expected Soon

March 3, 2017
The two major players in the jumbo mortgage-backed security market have seen strong demand for their issuance in recent months. But much broader factors are likely to limit issuance, including ongoing uncertainty regarding reform of the government-sponsored enterprises. Marc Simpson, an executive director at JPMorgan Securities, said 50 investors bought into the bank’s latest jumbo MBS, a $1.03 billion issuance. He said it was a “highwater mark,” as 20 to 30 investors typically ...
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Nonprime MBS from Angel Oak Rated AAA

March 3, 2017
A planned nonprime mortgage-backed security from an affiliate of Angel Oak Companies received AAA ratings from DBRS and Fitch Ratings. The $146.47 million deal will include credit enhancement of 46.65 percent on the senior tranche. Fitch said the AAA rating for the deal reflects the satisfactory operational review of the contributing lenders conducted by the rating service, 100.0 percent loan-level due diligence review with no material findings, a “Tier 2” representation-and-warranty framework ...
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Deal Agents Ready for MBS, Issuers Holding Off

March 3, 2017
Documents have been drawn up to define a deal agent’s responsibilities, a number of firms are willing to be deal agents for new non-agency mortgage-backed securities and some investors insist that the investor-friendly role is necessary. But a deal agent has yet to be included in an MBS. Dmitri Rabin, a vice president of Loomis, Sayles & Company, an investing firm that has pushed the deal-agent concept, conceded that the function doesn’t provide much value in the current environment ...
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New Batch of Contributors to Non-Agency MBS

March 3, 2017
The two issuers that recently entered the non-agency mortgage-backed security market included loans originated by lenders that haven’t been significant contributors to nonprime MBS or jumbo MBS. The $145.02 million nonprime MBS from Invictus Capital Partners included mortgages from 21 lenders, led by Calculated Risk Analytics with a 26.1 percent share of the dollar volume of loans in the deal. Calculated Risk Analytics does business as Excelerate Capital, a wholesale lender ...
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Greater Liquidity in Ginnie MBS Led to Higher Share for Nonbanks

March 3, 2017
By creating liquidity in Ginnie Mae mortgage-backed securities, liquidity coverage ratio (LCR) policies have attracted lenders – mostly nonbanks – whose funding relies more on securitizations – toward FHA loan originations, according to a new paper published by academicians. The paper, “Nonbanks and Lending Standards in Mortgage Markets: The Spillovers from Liquidity Regulation,” maintains that such lenders approve more FHA loans because they can sell the loans easily, given the high liquidity of the securitized product. The greater liquidity in Ginnie MBS has resulted in higher market share and eased standards especially for nonbanks and lenders with less deposit funding. It also has led to tighter standards for conventional mortgages, which are eligible for government sponsored enterprise securitization, wrote Pedro Gete and Michael Reher, researchers in the ...
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