Freddie Mac saw a strong rebound in its single-family business during the second quarter following a sluggish start to the year. Freddie guaranteed $82.23 billion of single-family mortgage-backed securities during the second quarter, a romping 28.6 percent increase from the first three months of the year. The GSE produced just $63.93 billion of MBS in the first three months of 2018, its slackest quarter in almost four years. Fannie’s single-family business was off slightly in the second quarter as MBS issuance declined to $111.36 billion – its weakest output since the first three months of 2016. [Includes two data charts.]
A spike in non-agency mortgage-backed security issuance has helped make 2018 the strongest year for securitizations in this niche market since the financial crisis, but the sector still has a long way to go, according to Grant Bailey, a top analyst at Fitch Ratings.
Fitch Ratings has lowered its loss expectations by an average of 20 basis points for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac credit risk transfers for the second half of the year. Strong collateral performance coupled with increased home price appreciation and a shorter term to maturity has led to the lower loss projections. In fact, Fitch noted that home prices in the respective pools have increased by 20 percent on average since issuance and 3.5 percent since January.
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