A spike in non-agency mortgage-backed security issuance has helped make 2018 the strongest year for securitizations in this niche market since the financial crisis, but the sector still has a long way to go, according to Grant Bailey, a top analyst at Fitch Ratings.
Fitch Ratings has lowered its loss expectations by an average of 20 basis points for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac credit risk transfers for the second half of the year. Strong collateral performance coupled with increased home price appreciation and a shorter term to maturity has led to the lower loss projections. In fact, Fitch noted that home prices in the respective pools have increased by 20 percent on average since issuance and 3.5 percent since January.