An “explicit” guarantee on Fannie/Freddie MBS was once a non-starter with Republicans in Washington. But the Trump administration is unlike your grandfather’s GOP. Just maybe, an explicit guarantee might work.
Year-to-date CLO issuance lagged behind the pace set in 2018 because of a slowdown in refinance transactions. Octagon Investment Partners was the most active sponsor at midyear.
The Treasury Department envisions a multi-year recapitalization of the GSEs. Secretary Steven Mnuchin told the Senate Banking Committee on Tuesday that the process is already underway.
If the U.S. economy enters a recession, MBS and ABS are expected to perform relatively well, according to S&P. Subprime auto ABS, certain commercial MBS and CLOs are most at risk for downgrades.