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U.S. Covered Bond Bill To Be Re-Introduced

January 4, 2013
Proponents of creating a covered bond market in the U.S., as well as a potential competitor for the Federal Home Loan Bank System, are hopeful that Canada’s recent establishment of a covered bond legal framework will lend legislative momentum to push such a bill through Congress this year. A spokesman for Rep. Scott Garrett, R-NJ, told Inside The GSEs this week that the chairman of the House Financial Services Subcommittee on Capital Markets and Government-Sponsored Enterprises will re-file his bill, the U.S. Covered Bond Act, in the near future. “With the federal government backing over 90 percent of the mortgage market, we must seek creative ways to enable the private sector to provide additional mortgage, consumer, commercial, and other types of credit,” Garrett said in a statement. “I look forward to working with my colleagues in the House and Senate to ensure we pass covered bond legislation in the 113th Congress.”
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GSE MBS Business Activity Increases in 4Q 2012

January 4, 2013
Heavy refinance volume pushed both Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac single-family mortgage securitization up appreciably during the fourth quarter of 2012, helping to close out a post-crisis record year for GSE mortgage-backed security business, according to a new Inside The GSEs analysis.Fannie and Freddie issued $352.51 billion in single-family MBS during the fourth quarter, a 5.2 percent increase from the previous period and the biggest quarter in over three years.
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SEC Report Reveals Doubts About ‘Franken’ Credit Rating Proposal, Wants More Study

December 21, 2012
Staff at the Securities and Exchange Commission this week recommended that the agency do more research before making a decision on how to implement a controversial provision in the Dodd-Frank Act involving random assignments of credit ratings in structured finance. Sen. Al Franken, D-MN, was the major proponent of a requirement that the SEC study the feasibility of creating a government body that would pick which credit rating agency would evaluate new non-agency MBS, non-mortgage ABS, commercial MBS and other structured finance transactions. The provision, Sec. 15e(w) of the Dodd-Frank Act, essentially requires the SEC to implement the new system unless the agency determines that an alternative system would better serve the public interest and protect investors. Although some investors and rating services support the Sec. 15e(w) concept, most securitization market participants oppose...
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Agency MBS Market Expands Again in Third Quarter As Private Investors Grab Share Ahead of Fed Program

December 21, 2012
The agency residential MBS market expanded for the third consecutive quarter during the three months ending in September, according to a new Inside MBS & ABS analysis. A total of $5.39 trillion of single-family MBS issued by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Ginnie Mae were outstanding as of the end of the third quarter of 2012. That was up by a scant 0.2 percent from the previous period, although it was still 0.4 percent below the level at the same time in 2011. Both Ginnie (2.1 percent) and Fannie (0.6 percent) posted...[Includes two data charts]
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Non-Agency MBS Issuance Expected to Increase Somewhat in 2013; Years Before Full Recovery

December 21, 2012
Analysts expect issuance of new production non-agency MBS to increase in 2013 from this year’s level but remain well below historical non-boom standards. Investor demand for new non-agency MBS has increased recently and a number of issuers are looking to enter the market, but the non-agency sector also faces significant hurdles. Reform of the government-sponsored enterprises and pending risk-retention rules need to be resolved before non-agency MBS production will increase significantly, according to industry analysts. Through the beginning of December, $13.01 billion in non-agency MBS had been issued...
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Merrill Lynch Buying Jumbo Mortgages From Loan Correspondents. MBS Next?

December 21, 2012
Merrill Lynch over the past few months has been in the market actively buying jumbo mortgages and is also looking for an executive to manage its correspondent purchases, secondary market officials told Inside MBS & ABS. These officials, who spoke under the condition their names not be used, said they anticipate that Merrill, a Bank of America company, is gathering product for an eventual jumbo security. A spokesman for Merrill declined to discuss the matter, saying, “We don’t comment on our plans.” Shellpoint Partners, a company affiliated with MBS market pioneer Lewis Ranieri, is...
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Signs of Life for Eminent Domain Proposals Emerge In CA, MA as Trade Groups Mobilize in Opposition

December 21, 2012
City councils on each end of the U.S. have responded to the foreclosure crisis by demonstrating an interest in controversial proposals to use eminent domain to seize underwater mortgages, refinance them into FHA loans at fair market value, and then sell them off to other investors. The Salinas (CA) City Council has gone the furthest of the two jurisdictions, choosing Mortgage Resolution Partners earlier this month to develop such a program for the benefit of the homeowners in its jurisdiction. At its Oct. 16, 2012, meeting, the council’s housing subcommittee directed staff to develop and circulate a request for proposals to determine the magnitude of the local residential foreclosure crisis and possible solutions. On Nov. 1, 2012, the RFP was circulated...
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Non-Agency MBS Investors Oppose Interest-Rate Reduction Mod Proposed by Democrats

December 21, 2012
Investors in non-agency MBS have numerous concerns about a loan modification program proposed by the Obama administration, according to Tom Deutsch, executive director of the American Securitization Forum. The so-called Market Rate Modification program would target borrowers with negative equity on a mortgage in a non-agency MBS. “For the many significantly underwater borrowers that would not default on their mortgage loans, the MRM proposal would ultimately represent a transfer of wealth from the pension fund and 401(k) investors who lent the mortgage principal through residential MBS to borrowers that have not demonstrated any material life changes that would impair their ability to make their monthly mortgage payments,” Deutsch said in a letter this week to the Treasury Department. He noted...
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MBS Analysts Wary of New Principal Forgiveness, HARP Deadline Revision Under New FHFA Chief

December 21, 2012
MBS analysts hold differing expectations as to what the potential replacement of the “temporary” head of the Federal Housing Finance Agency could mean to Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and the mortgage securities sector. Recently reported Obama administration backchannel chatter suggests that the White House is actively seeking potential candidates to replace FHFA Acting Director Edward DeMarco, who has been the de facto agency chief since the departure of James Lockhart in September 2009. A report last week by Credit Suisse speculated...
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Moody’s: Washington’s Tumble Over ‘Fiscal Cliff’ Would Take Fannie, Freddie Profitability With It

December 21, 2012
A recession resulting from the federal government taking the U.S. economy over the fiscal cliff would leave Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac vulnerable to higher credit losses and make the two government-sponsored enterprises unprofitable again, according to Moody’s Investors Service. Moody’s this week warned that Washington’s failure to reach a tax and spending agreement would also force the GSEs to ride out the shockwaves of potential financial market disruptions on their derivatives trades. “In our current central economic scenario, both Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are...
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