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Treasury Downplays Talk of Ending GSEs’ Conservatorship, Reiterates Support for Reform

June 18, 2015
Carisa Chappell
Lew said it’s not the right time to talk about ending the GSEs’ conservatorship and paying dividends.
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Agency Jumbo Market Up Sharply in Early 2015 Refinance Boom, Non-Agency Grows More Slowly

June 18, 2015
An estimated $95.9 billion of mortgages bigger than the traditional agency loan limit were produced during the first quarter of 2015, a new Inside Mortgage Finance analysis reveals. Jumbo production – all single-unit mortgages with loan amounts exceeding $417,000 – was up 7.9 percent from the fourth quarter. That was slightly off the pace set in overall mortgage originations, which rose 12.9 percent from the previous quarter. Conforming-jumbo production was...[Includes three data tables]
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Servicing Market Shrank Again in Early 2015 While Nonbanks Expanded Their Share of the Business

June 18, 2015
The outstanding supply of home mortgage debt – even what had been the fastest-growing sector of the market – ebbed in the first quarter of 2015. The Federal Reserve late last week reported the supply of home mortgage debt outstanding fell to $9.855 trillion as of the end of March. That was down 0.3 percent from December 2014 and reversed a modest expansion of the servicing market over the second half of last year. While banks, thrifts and credit unions managed...[Includes two data tables]
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QM Is Only Working Because of the GSE Crutch; Lenders Hobbling Forward With New Products

June 18, 2015
The only thing that kept the qualified-mortgage rule from devastating mortgage production was the temporary loophole that allows Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and the government-insurance programs to treat loans with debt-to-income ratios above 43 percent as QMs, an industry official said. “Many have referred to QM as the Y2K moment for mortgages: nothing happened. We all thought this thing was going to implode. And yet there wasn’t too much of a glitch,” said Rod Alba, senior regulatory counsel at the American Bankers Association, during the ABA’s annual regulatory compliance conference in Washington, DC, this week. “At the macro level, that’s...
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GSE Buybacks Down Sharply in First Quarter of 2015

June 17, 2015
John Bancroft
Fannie’s repurchase volume fell 45.8 percent from the previous quarter while Freddie’s was down just 1.3 percent.
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Mortgage Securitization Rate Remains Soft in Early 2015; Banks Keep More Whole Loans?

June 12, 2015
John Bancroft
The slowdown in securitization is partly due to the lag between origination and MBS issuance, but there are other factors not related to timing...
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Abacus Federal Acquitted of Selling Bad Mortgages to Fannie Mae

June 12, 2015
Carisa Chappell
Following a four-month trial and nine days of deliberations, a New York jury acquitted Abacus and two of its senior officers...
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Prepayment Risk on MBS Appears to Be Declining with Higher Interest Rates, Burnout from FHA Premium Cut

June 12, 2015
A large decline in interest rates in the past year created millions of refinance opportunities for lenders, according to industry analysts. However, prepayment risk on MBS backed by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Ginnie Mae appears to be decreasing as interest rates increase. As of the end of April, 7.0 million borrowers were likely to both qualify for and benefit from refinancing, according to Black Knight Financial Services. That was up from 4.5 million potential refi borrowers a year ago as interest rates on 30-year fixed-rate mortgages declined by 70 basis points in that time, according to Freddie’s Primary Mortgage Market Survey. “This is...[Includes one data table]
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Mortgage Securitization Rate Remains Soft in Early 2015; MBS Get Slightly Bigger Share of Jumbos

June 12, 2015
Securitization rates for newly originated home mortgages remained at historically low levels during the first quarter of 2015, according to a new Inside MBS & ABS market analysis. The ratio of new MBS issuance to primary-market mortgage originations was just 71.6 percent during the first quarter. That’s down from 75.4 percent for all of last year and the record high of 88.8 percent back in 2009. The slowdown in securitization rates is...[Includes one data table]
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Can MBS Prices Get Much Lower? The ‘Illiquidity Issue’ Is Raised Again

June 12, 2015
The average bid on the benchmark Fannie Mae 30-year 3.50 percent MBS fell to 102.2 this week compared to 104.5 earlier in the month, leaving some market watchers feeling sick to their stomachs. The general fear is that MBS prices may fall further over the short term as interest rates rise. The question for many boils down to the basics: Where will mortgages settle? As Inside MBS & ABS went to press this week, the yield on the 10-year Treasury reached...
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