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Grapevine: Debt Ceiling and Interest Rates; Lenders Still Shrinking

May 12, 2023
Brandon Ivey and Paul Muolo
Interplay between debt ceiling and mortgage interest rates; mortgage employment declines; rate locks down; Rithm considers spin-off; Planet Financial looking for lenders; new LO recruiting software; Blend’s market share grows; Black Knight’s margins; new appraisal marketplace; MISMO requests for comment.
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Agency MBS Investors Cautious With Debt Ceiling

May 11, 2023
Brandon Ivey
With the U.S. debt ceiling resolution far from certain, investors in agency MBS are being careful in terms of financing and leverage. A U.S. default also has ramifications for outstanding MBS and ABS.
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End of Rate Hikes Could Help Spur CMBS Issuance

May 11, 2023
Brandon Ivey
The pipeline for commercial MBS issuance is starting to fill up after a slowdown tied to volatility from the regional bank failures. Longer term, higher interest rates are a concern for loans in outstanding CMBS.
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GSEs’ CRT Issuance Bounces Back in First Quarter

May 11, 2023
Dennis Hollier
After a three-month hiatus, Fannie rebounded with $1.44 billion in CAS deals, while Freddie’s STACR issuance totaled $611.0 million. (Includes data chart.)
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The ‘Scratch and Dent’ Market is Improving

May 11, 2023
Paul Muolo
Owners of scratch-and-dent mortgages, especially nonbanks, can’t hang onto these problematic loans forever. The good news: Sellers are more likely to accept bids this year.
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Jumbo MBS Performing Well, At Least for Now

May 11, 2023
James Dohnert
Fitch Ratings has warned that jumbo MBS could face ratings pressure due to newer production.
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Marketplace Lending ABS Unscathed by FDIC Consent Order

May 11, 2023
Sam Manas
A Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. consent order against Cross River Bank, a partner in marketplace lending securitizations, won’t impact outstanding ratings on ABS, according to Kroll Bond Rating Agency.
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Bank Volatility Could Help Farmer Mac

May 11, 2023
Monica Hogan
Much of Farmer Mac’s first-quarter growth came from its diversification into rural infrastructure.
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Grapevine: SFA Brings on Chief Economist; Delinquencies Increasing

May 11, 2023
Brandon Ivey
Former Federal Reserve official joins SFA; delinquencies rising on credit card and student loan ABS; KBRA creates new business development role for structured finance.
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Nonbanks Looking to Benefit as Banks Pull Back

May 11, 2023
Brandon Ivey
Banks are reducing their appetite for new mortgage originations, particularly among non-agency products. Nonbanks see an opportunity to take some market share.
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