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Signs Point to Continued Strong Presence of the Fed In the MBS Market as Housing Recovery Continues

November 16, 2012
The Federal Reserve appears likely to continue to maintain an arguably oversized footprint in the secondary mortgage market in its effort to foster the gradually improving housing market, analysts say. “Our view is that the Fed continues its purchase of agency MBS at least to the end of 2013,” said Ankur Mehta, an MBS analyst with Citigroup. “The fact that the market is now talking about QE 4 and Treasury space, you can say that further argues they’re going to stay the course in the mortgage space because they’re still looking to ease their monetary policy.” The Fed’s actions have improved...
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Redwood’s Latest Non-Agency Jumbo MBS Set To Receive Lower AAA Credit Enhancement

November 16, 2012
The latest planned non-agency jumbo MBS from Redwood Trust will have lower credit enhancement levels than other recent deals issued by the real estate investment trust, according to presale reports released this week. The AAA tranche on Redwood’s sixth non-agency MBS issuance of the year will have credit enhancement of 7.05 percent, down from 7.30 percent on the three previous deals issued by Redwood. Officials at Redwood along with others interested in non-agency MBS have suggested that credit enhancement levels required by the rating services have been too high. The credit enhancement for Sequoia Mortgage Trust 2012-6 will be the lowest on a non-agency MBS backed by new loans since the MBS issued by Redwood in 2010 had 6.50 percent credit enhancement on the AAA tranche. Fitch Ratings, Kroll Bond Rating Agency and Moody’s Investors Service are set...
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FHFA Wins in Lawsuits Against Non-Agency MBS Issuers and Underwriters May Prompt Settlements

November 16, 2012
Recent procedural rulings in Federal Housing Finance Agency lawsuits against non-agency MBS issuers and underwriters again favored the conservator of the government-sponsored enterprises, prompting some to speculate that issuers will move to settle the lawsuits. Meanwhile, a number of other MBS-related litigation developments continue to pile up. U.S. District Judge Denise Cote is overseeing 16 cases filed by the FHFA against non-agency MBS issuers and underwriters regarding non-agency MBS purchased by the GSEs between 2005 and 2007. The FHFA alleges misrepresentations by the issuers and underwriters on the MBS. Last week, Cote dismissed...
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CLO Issuance Is on the Rebound but Market Remains Wobbly, Vulnerable to Macro Risks

November 16, 2012
Participants in collateralized loan obligation deals remain optimistic about the future of the market although they caution that macroeconomic issues might still derail the product’s slow return. In a panel discussion hosted by Standard & Poor’s last week, CLO market executives maintained a positive outlook for CLO performance as the market experienced a resurgence early this year. The market collapsed after the financial crisis but has apparently been resuscitated by investors hungry for high-risk, high-return securities. CLOs acquire...
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Expect Post-Election GSE Reform Reboot

November 16, 2012
Look for the 113th Congress and to a lesser extent a second-term Obama administration to become more engaged in seeking a resolution to Fannie Mae’s and Freddie Mac’s future role in the mortgage market, although implementation of such a solution remains years away, say industry observers. In the short term, following a hard-fought 2012 election that left the balance of power and the political party makeup unchanged, official Washington will be primarily focused on averting the looming “fiscal cliff” of tax hikes and automatic spending cuts.
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Obama Shopping to Replace FHFA Head?

November 16, 2012
Speculation abounds across Capitol Hill and within mortgage industry circles about how long the “temporary” head of the Federal Housing Finance Agency will remain at his post following the post-election shake out. However, it remains to be seen whether President Obama, flush from re-election, will seek a replacement for FHFA Acting Director Edward DeMarco, either by nominating a permanent agency director to the Senate or by the more politically problematic recess appointment.
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Key Committees Reorganize After Election Results

November 16, 2012
In the wake of last week’s election, two congressional committees key to mortgage and housing issues face significant reorganization while the pending fiscal crisis will cause execution of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac policy to remain on the backburner before lawmakers begin to reexamine GSE reform in earnest.The hard-fought electoral contest resulted in the status quo with Democrats in control of the White House and Senate, while Republicans retain their hold on the House. The House Financial Services Committee was poised for a leadership change no matter which political party prevailed with current chairman Spencer Bachus, R-AL, term-limited by House Republican Conference rules.
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GSEs Extend More Mortgage Relief to Hurricane Borrowers

November 16, 2012
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac announced last week that servicers are permitted to suspend evictions and foreclosures for borrowers affected by Hurricane Sandy for 90 days in order to assess homeowners’ situations. Immediately following the Oct. 28-29 hurricane, the GSEs had reiterated their policy on mortgage relief to borrowers located in jurisdictions declared by the president to be major disaster areas.
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GSEs Both Post Profit Despite 3Q 2012 Revenue Drop

November 16, 2012
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac each emerged from the third quarter of 2012 with a healthy profit, reporting a combined $4.74 billion in net income, a 41.7 percent decline from the second quarter but still well enough into the black to forgo taxpayer assistance to stay solvent. Fannie’s third quarter net income of $1.81 billion compared to a net loss of $5.1 billion in the same quarter a year ago but much more in line with the $2.72 billion it earned during the first quarter of 2012.
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HARP 3.0 ‘On Track’ But Effectiveness Questioned

November 16, 2012
Democrat-sponsored, White House-approved legislation in the Senate to expand the Home Affordable Refinance Program has made the short list of bills to be considered during the post-election, lame-duck session of the 112th Congress. However, industry insiders say its final passage remains a tall order and the proposed HARP 3.0’s ultimate effectiveness is an open question.
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