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GSEs Losing Race for First-Time Homebuyers to FHA/VA Financing

August 28, 2015
First-time homebuyers make up a significant part of the purchase-mortgage market, but Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have a hard time competing with Ginnie Mae, according to a new Inside The GSEs analysis of loan-level data.The three agencies securitized $118.90 billion of first-time buyer mortgages during the first six months of 2015, but Ginnie accounted for over half (52.4 percent) of the business. Ginnie’s big advantage is that it gets all the FHA and VA loans, while the GSEs so far have not gotten much traction in their reduced-downpayment programs. First-time buyers typically have less savings for a downpayment and often have less-stellar credit profiles. In the first half of this year, the average loan-to-value ratio for...(charts)
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MBA's Stance On GSE Reform Viewed As Evolving

August 28, 2015
Mortgage Bankers Association President David Stevens set off a firestorm of reactions after publishing a piece earlier this week regarding the MBA’s stance on GSE reform. Some in the industry accused Stevens of “flip flopping” when he said that he supports reforming Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac as opposed to eliminating them altogether. But Stevens was adamant in defense of the MBA’s position and took to Twitter stating, “It’s been our position for 2+ years.” Stevens noted in the article that conservatorship is not a long-term solution, and added that in the current state it may be the riskiest position of all. He said the GSEs don’t have the capital to withstand another housing downturn and taxpayers don’t want to be on the hook if the companies falter.
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Manufactured Housing Sector Seeks More Lending From GSEs

August 28, 2015
The Federal Housing Finance Authoritys’ “duty-to-serve” rule, mandated by the 2008 Housing and Economic Recovery Act, is getting a lot of attention lately from manufactured housing industry leaders who argue that the GSEs aren’t purchasing enough of their loans. “Duty-to-serve” was created to encourage Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to support underserved markets, especially those that included manufactured housing, along with rural housing and affordable housing preservation. Although it was mandated years ago, a final rule has not been implemented and the FHFA plans to re-propose the rule later this year.MH accounted for just 0.2 percent of Fannie’s and Freddie’s total business this year with the GSEs securitizing $896 million of manufactured housing loans in the first half of 2015, according to data analyzed by Inside The GSEs.
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Fannie Overhauls Affordable Lending Program Into 'HomeReady'

August 28, 2015
Fannie Mae rolled out HomeReady this week, a revised affordable lending product to replace its MyCommunityMortgage program, which focuses on helping borrowers with low- and moderate-incomes obtain mortgage credit. With lender input, the GSE made a number of changes to make the product more efficient for both lenders and borrowers. Fannie will add it to Desktop Underwriter later this year. HomeReady expects to create business opportunities for lenders serving the changing demographics and the shift in borrower needs. “I think it will definitely give lenders some additional flexibility in being able to qualify moderate income and lower income borrowers that they don’t have today,” said Glen Corso, executive director of Community Mortgage Lenders of America.
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The Recent (Unexpected ) Drop in Rates Could Spell Large Hedging Losses for the GSEs

August 28, 2015
Generally speaking, declining interest rates are welcomed by most mortgage market participants – unless the drop is both precipitous and unexpected, which is exactly what occurred over the past 10 days, thanks to the worldwide stock market carnage. As the weekend approached, the yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury bond was at 2.17 percent, but earlier in the week – while stocks sold off – the yield fell to as low as 1.90 percent. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac watchers are now wondering if given the steep (and unexpected) decline in rates, perhaps the two government-controlled mortgage giants will report large hedging losses for the third quarter.
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GSE Buybacks Tumble in Second Quarter of 2015

August 28, 2015
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac reported big declines in mortgage repurchases and their inventories of unresolved buyback requests during the second quarter of 2015, according to a new Inside The GSEs analysis of disclosures filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Freddie reported a 19.1 percent drop in repurchases from the first to the second quarter of 2015, while Fannie’s decline was a more modest 3.9 percent. Together, the two GSEs reported $436.3 million in repurchased or indemnified loans during the second quarter, the lowest amount since Fannie, Freddie and other “securitizers” began reporting repurchase activity in early 2012. On a combined basis, Fannie and Freddie reported new lows in pending repurchases ($732.2 million) and disputed buyback requests...
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GSE Roundup

August 28, 2015
 Fannie Research Shows House Price Decline for Some Oil States: The prospect of an oil bust draws comparisons to the housing slump of the 1980s in Fannie Mae’s  research released Aug. 28. While most Americans enjoyed lower gasoline prices over that period, severe employment losses occurred within the oil industry, and many oil-producing states experienced general economic slowdowns and declining house prices. North Dakota, Wyoming and Alaska are most at risk.     …
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What We’re Hearing: Will Banks Ever Return to Wholesale? / $354 Million for Stearns Lending? / Eventually, There Will be a Merger / The Dave Stevens ‘Flip-Flop’ Controversy / MBA’s Top Paid Consultants

August 28, 2015
Paul Muolo
What do nonbanks think about depositories avoiding the wholesale/broker sector? They love it.
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Stock Market Swoon Could Spell More Refis

August 28, 2015
With the stock market suffering major losses the past 10 days, investors in equities are bleeding red ink, but mortgage bankers are salivating at the prospect of higher application volumes thanks to declining interest rates. “We’re at the tail-end of the home-buying season when volume drops, but my members are anticipating an increase in refis,” said Glen Corso, executive director of Community Mortgage Lenders of America. The newfound optimism comes courtesy of China ...
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Is FHA’s New Metric the Standard of the Future?

August 28, 2015
The FHA late this month announced a new tool to supplement Neighborhood Watch’s compare ratio to give lenders a better sense of their performance and, at the same time, ease concerns about lending to higher-risk borrowers. FHA lenders welcomed the long-anticipated performance metric although concerns linger about lender liability. Nonetheless, for The Collingwood Group, a Washington, DC-based advisory firm, the question is whether the tool represents a ...
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