A white paper circulated last week at the annual meeting of the American Economic Association asserted, somewhat counter-intuitively, that repealing the home-mortgage interest deduction and property-tax reductions would result in lower home prices but higher rates of homeownership. The paper, prepared by Kamila Sommer, an economist with the Federal Reserve Board, and Paul Sullivan, an economist at the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, studied the impact of reducing housing tax expenditures on equilibrium ...

The tendency of borrowers with low credit scores to choose adjustable-rate mortgages over fixed-rate loans is more about economic considerations rather than a lack of financial sophistication, according to a study by Federal Reserve researchers. In the study, Fred Furlong, David Lang and Yelena Takhtamanova looked at factors that influenced lower-credit borrowers to select ARMs over fixed-rate mortgages during the housing boom in early 2000. In general, the research team observed ...

After years of operating in an environment with exceptionally low interest rates, federal regulators are warning lenders of risks as interest rates are expected to rise in 2014. Regulators are particularly concerned about lenders’ exposure to longer-term assets such as mortgages and agency mortgage-backed securities. “The recent increase in long-term interest rates underscores the need to understand and quantify bank vulnerability to rising interest rates,” the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency ...

Commercial banks and savings institutions coughed up $1.998 billion in mortgage repurchases and indemnifications during the third quarter of 2013, according to a new Inside Mortgage Trends analysis of call-report data. It was the lowest quarterly repurchase total for the industry since the third quarter of 2008, when the buyback storm was just beginning to gather force. The third quarter 2013 total also reflected a 25.2 percent drop from the second quarter. For the first nine months of 2013 ... [Includes one data chart]

Declining refinance volume contributed to a marked decline in the GSEs’ overall business at the end of 2013 as Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac posted big declines in business on a quarterly and total 12-month basis, according to a new Inside The GSEs analysis. Fannie and Freddie issued $182.2 billion in new single-family mortgage-backed securities during the three-month period ending Dec. 31, 2013, a two-year low.

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac mortgage-backed securities remained the preferred investment choice of the 12 Federal Home Loan Banks during the third quarter of 2013, with a modest increase from the previous quarter, according to a new analysis and ranking by Inside The GSEs based on data from the Federal Housing Finance Agency. Meanwhile, Ginnie Mae securities posted a pocket-sized increase within the FHLBank system during the period ending Sept. 30, 2013.

When it comes to the new QM rule lenders are operating from a position of fear. You can bet that mortgage attorneys in the Washington DC area have racked up the billable hours, holding their clients’ hands and supplying legal advice as the clock strikes midnight.

New issuance of single-family MBS and non-mortgage ABS fell sharply in the fourth quarter of 2013 as mortgage refinance activity continued to decline and ABS production ended the year quietly, according to a new Inside MBS & ABS analysis. Monthly production of single-family MBS went into a steady, year-long decline at the beginning of 2013. In December, total single-family MBS issuance fell to just $77.1 billion, the lowest monthly production figure since July 2011. December marked the third straight month with MBS issuance below $100 billion, and it gave the fourth quarter an anemic $254.8 billion in total issuance – a two-and-a-half-year low. Although Freddie Mac scored a minor increase in December, the agency MBS market fell...[Includes two data charts]

Jumbo MBS issuance isn’t likely to revive in the first quarter, and some market participants are starting to wonder if any new deals will get done by the end of March. With January almost at the mid-point there is talk that issuers – both active and wannabes – are shifting to a strategy of staying in the jumbo business as whole-loan traders as opposed to issuers. For now, it appears...

Some lawmakers and non-agency interests are not happy with new Federal Housing Finance Agency Director Mel Watt’s move this week to delay a planned 10 basis point increase in the government-sponsored enterprises’ MBS guaranty fees. Two days after he was sworn in to a five-year term as FHFA director, Watt followed through on a promise he made late last month to delay then FHFA Acting Director Edward DeMarco’s announced 10 bps g-fee hike. Watt promised sellers at least 120 days before implementing any changes. The g-fee increase was set...