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Economists Tout Model for House Price Trends

May 22, 2015
Economists at the Federal Housing Finance Agency published a paper last week detailing a model that could be a better gauge of how low house prices can fall than models used before the financial crisis.“Leveraging a model based upon consumer and investor incentives, we are able to explain the depth of housing market downturns at both the national and state level over a variety of market environments,” the economists said. The economists noted that their model is dynamic, which is more useful than the static models used by the predecessor to the FHFA, which “proved insufficiently stressful in the lead up to the Great Recession.” A model based on a static shock can produce an insufficient level of stress ...
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Realtors, Appraisers See Potential in Drones

May 22, 2015
The real estate industry is excited about the potential use of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) or drones in marketing residential and commercial properties. But stakeholders might have to wait a bit more until federal regulations for drone usage are clear and precise. Industry participants across the country are eager to use drones for aerial photography, videography, property inspection and appraisal and for other mortgage-related opportunities UAV technology might bring. Sometime in the not-so-distant future, Realtors will be able to legally fly unmanned drones over listed properties to give prospective buyers a total view of each listed property and its surroundings. For appraisers and catastrophic insurers, drones can reduce the time it takes to provide an appraisal for a residential or ...
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Banks Report Solid Increase in Mortgage Banking Income in First Quarter 2015

May 22, 2015
Commercial banks and thrifts earned $3.99 billion from their mortgage-banking operations during the first quarter of 2015, according to a new ranking and analysis by Inside Mortgage Trends. Mortgage-banking income was up 12.7 percent from the previous quarter and 19.0 percent ahead of the pace set in the first three months of 2014. Early 2015 was no record-setter, by any means, but profits were well below the levels reached in the middle of last year. The call-report data do not separate...[Includes one data table]
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Industry Disconnect Emerges on TRID Readiness

May 22, 2015
A dramatic disconnect has surfaced between different segments of the mortgage industry when it comes to being prepared to comply with the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau’s pending integrated-disclosure rule. Professionals in the land title insurance side of the business are far more confident about their readiness than are depository institutions, recent surveys reveal. A survey conducted in April by the American Land Title Association found that 92 percent of respondents indicated their company will be prepared to implement the new loan estimate and closing disclosures and to comply with the CFPB’s regulation. That number isn’t as good as it seems, though. A much smaller 62.6 percent said they are on schedule for implementation. Another 29.4 percent conceded they are behind ...
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Economists See Lending Surge in Fuzzy Outlook

May 22, 2015
Mortgage originations are already off to a better start in 2015, and industry economists are predicting, on average, a 15 percent increase from last year’s sluggish output. But uncertain prospects in the housing market point toward a decline in mortgage originations next year, according to forecasters at the secondary market conference sponsored this week by the Mortgage Bankers Association. 2015 should bring the strongest housing sales volume since 2007, said Leonard Kiefer, deputy chief economist at Freddie Mac. Sales activity was decent over the winter, despite severe weather in many areas, but the market has yet to get back to normal. Freddie looks...[Includes one data table]
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Deephaven’s Nonprime Production a Mystery

May 22, 2015
Seven months ago, a fledgling nonprime lender called Deephaven Mortgage unveiled a $300 million investment in the firm by a global “alternative” hedge fund called Varde Partners, Minneapolis. But since then, not much has been heard about Deephaven. Then again, it might be said that the “new” nonprime industry is still trying to figure out how to operate in a world of tight regulation, non-QM lending and a securitization market that doesn’t want to touch its product. Matt Nichols, the former Goldman Sachs managing director who formed Deephaven two years ago, did not respond...
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Analysts See Stronger Mortgage Market in 2015, but Not Much Expansion in the Credit Box

May 21, 2015
John Bancroft
“U.S. Bank was asked why it wasn’t expanding in the mortgage business,” Gabriel said during a panel discussion. “Their answer was: ‘Did you see what happened to Bank of America?’”
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Without the Refi Surge, the First Quarter Would Have Been a Dud

May 21, 2015
John Bancroft
If purchase-lending doesn’t increase soon the mortgage industry could be in for some turbulence.
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Final FHFA Servicer-Eligibility Rules Will Impact Smaller Shops More

May 21, 2015
Paul Muolo
According to analyst Paul Miller of FBR Capital Markets, the standards are meant to “impact small, nonpublic, nondepository institutions that have operated on the periphery of the sector.”
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Oh, and Nationstar’s EVP of Human Resources is Retiring Too

May 21, 2015
Paul Muolo
A company spokesman confirmed the departure to IMFnews, noting that O’Brien is leaving after a 40-plus career.
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