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Prepayment Risk on MBS Appears to Be Declining with Higher Interest Rates, Burnout from FHA Premium Cut

June 12, 2015
A large decline in interest rates in the past year created millions of refinance opportunities for lenders, according to industry analysts. However, prepayment risk on MBS backed by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Ginnie Mae appears to be decreasing as interest rates increase. As of the end of April, 7.0 million borrowers were likely to both qualify for and benefit from refinancing, according to Black Knight Financial Services. That was up from 4.5 million potential refi borrowers a year ago as interest rates on 30-year fixed-rate mortgages declined by 70 basis points in that time, according to Freddie’s Primary Mortgage Market Survey. “This is...[Includes one data table]
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Mortgage Securitization Rate Remains Soft in Early 2015; MBS Get Slightly Bigger Share of Jumbos

June 12, 2015
Securitization rates for newly originated home mortgages remained at historically low levels during the first quarter of 2015, according to a new Inside MBS & ABS market analysis. The ratio of new MBS issuance to primary-market mortgage originations was just 71.6 percent during the first quarter. That’s down from 75.4 percent for all of last year and the record high of 88.8 percent back in 2009. The slowdown in securitization rates is...[Includes one data table]
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Rating Services Prepare to Comply with New Disclosure Requirements from the SEC

June 12, 2015
Beginning June 15, rating services involved in MBS and ABS will be subject to increased disclosure standards from the Securities and Exchange Commission. Rating services expect to make a number of changes to comply with the final rule that was issued last August, with some concerns about the usefulness of the increased disclosures. The SEC is requiring nationally recognized statistical rating organizations to disclose rating histories, make changes to rating methodologies and disclose details on findings by third-party due diligence providers, among other issues. Moody’s Investors Service noted...
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Can MBS Prices Get Much Lower? The ‘Illiquidity Issue’ Is Raised Again

June 12, 2015
The average bid on the benchmark Fannie Mae 30-year 3.50 percent MBS fell to 102.2 this week compared to 104.5 earlier in the month, leaving some market watchers feeling sick to their stomachs. The general fear is that MBS prices may fall further over the short term as interest rates rise. The question for many boils down to the basics: Where will mortgages settle? As Inside MBS & ABS went to press this week, the yield on the 10-year Treasury reached...
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Angel Oaks’ Plan to Securitize Nonprime Mortgages Appears to Be on Hold; Whole Loan Sales Instead?

June 12, 2015
Angel Oak Mortgage Solutions was hoping to make a big splash this year by being the first lender to securitize newly originated nonprime mortgages since the housing bust. It now appears those plans are on hold. According to officials who said they have been briefed on the situation, the Atlanta-based Angel Oak is now shopping around a roughly $100 million package of nonprime loans, many of which were originated over the past year. One investor said...
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Private Student Loans Turn in Healthy Performance In First Quarter, With Continued Growth Expected

June 12, 2015
There is good news for investors in private student-loan ABS these days, according to the latest market intelligence from industry analysts. Student loan performance was healthy in the first quarter, and more growth is expected going forward. Continued strong performance trends were seen in repayment, delinquencies and charge-offs for private student loans through March 31, 2015, according to the semi-annual private student-loan performance report from MeasureOne, which was released earlier this week. Among the key findings, year-over-year delinquencies continued...
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Court Departs from Long-Held Federal Preemption for Nonbanks, Prompting Concern in Securitization Industry

June 12, 2015
Securitization industry participants are concerned about a recent ruling in a federal appeals court that overturned longstanding preemption certain nonbanks have enjoyed from state laws, including standards for debt collection. The ruling in late May by the Second Circuit Court of Appeals in the case of Madden v. Midland Funding could pose “significant implications for the securitization industry,” according to the Structured Finance Industry Group. The case involves...
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Court Splits R&W Liability between JPMorgan and WaMu; PwC’s Bid for Docs in Colonial Case Denied

June 12, 2015
JPMorgan Chase recently won in a long-running lawsuit with Deutsche Bank, limiting potential liabilities it inherited from purchasing the embattled Washington Mutual in 2008 at the behest of federal banking regulators. U.S. District Court Judge Rosemary Collyer in Washington, DC, ordered that liabilities for representation-and-warranty breaches be split between JPMorgan and WaMu Mortgage Securities Corp. The judge decided that JPMorgan would be liable only to the extent that the liabilities were on WaMu’s books as of Sept. 25, 2008. The remaining liabilities would remain at WaMu. Only a short order was released...
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What We’re Hearing: Non-QM Lending Still a Pipe Dream? / Time to Start a Non-QM Secondary Market Agency? / Putting Blackstone’s New Mortgage Company in Perspective / CFPB’s ‘Record’ Not Good News for PHH Mortgage

June 12, 2015
Paul Muolo
So where is the non-QM business going? Unless, you’re talking non-QM jumbos, it’s safe to say nowhere fast...
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Bank Mortgage Holdings Up Sharply In 2015, Led By Jumbo Home Loans

June 12, 2015
Originations of jumbo mortgages along with retention of some conforming loans helped bank and thrift holdings of first liens grow in the first quarter of 2015, according to a new ranking and analysis by Inside Nonconforming Markets. Banks and thrifts held $1.78 trillion in first liens in portfolio at the end of the quarter, up 0.9 percent compared with the fourth quarter of 2014 and a 2.4 percent increase compared with the first quarter of last year. The portfolios ... [Includes one data chart]
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