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Concern About Home Prices in Jumbo States

February 12, 2016
Home prices in California and other states where jumbo mortgages are concentrated are “overheating,” according to analysts at Fitch Ratings. The firm said rapid home price growth in parts of California, Florida and Texas appears to be exceeding fundamentals. Fitch estimates that homes in most major metropolitan areas in those states are currently overpriced. Grant Bailey, a managing director at Fitch, said home prices in the San Francisco area are a particular concern ...
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Jumbo Demand Declines, Underwriting to Loosen

February 12, 2016
Borrower demand for jumbo mortgages declined somewhat in the fourth quarter of 2015 compared with the previous quarter, and banks plan on loosening underwriting standards for the loans, according to the Federal Reserve’s senior loan officer opinion survey. Industry participants stress that underwriting standards for jumbos remain strong, with poor performance unlikely. Senior LOs were asked to evaluate demand for purchase mortgages in the fourth quarter of 2015 ...
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What We’re Hearing: A 2.50 Percent FRM? / Hayman Out of PennyMac / Manny Friedman Losing the Love for PHH? / Sick of Hearing About Quicken’s ‘Rocket’ Mortgage? / CFPB Ready to Give Secondary Market Relief on TRID?

February 12, 2016
Paul Muolo
Meanwhile, EJF Capital, the private equity firm headed by Manny Friedman, has dumped a large chunk of its stake in PHH...
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Jumbo Originations Up Nearly 40% in 2015, Market Share Hits 10-Year High

February 12, 2016
Originations of non-agency jumbo mortgages in 2015 outpaced total originations, helping to increase the jumbo sector’s market share, according to a new ranking and analysis by Inside Nonconforming Markets. Fueled by bank demand, an estimated $328.0 billion in jumbos were originated in 2015, up 39.6 percent compared with 2014. Total first-lien originations increased by 33.5 percent in 2015 compared with the previous year, according to ... [Includes one data chart]
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Falling Rates Make MSR Sales Problematic – for Now

February 12, 2016
Paul Muolo
Declining interest rates are making some bidders think long and hard about MSR pricing...
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Fitch Proposes Changes to Loss Model Used to Rate RMBS Deals, Slightly Reducing Projected Losses

February 12, 2016
Fitch Ratings proposed a number of changes to its residential MBS loss model this week, as part of an annual review. The changes would prompt slightly lower loss expectations for most of the types of deals that are currently being issued. The rating service said the most meaningful proposed change with a positive implication on loss expectations is expected to be a lower default assumption for borrowers with strong equity positions. The lower default assumption was prompted by a proposed Cure Rate Adjustment. Fitch said...
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Securitizations Backed by Mobile-Phone Financing Have Similar, Unique Risks as Other Consumer ABS

February 12, 2016
The advent of mobile phone financing has given U.S. asset-backed securitization a new twist with its unique risks and strengths relative to other consumer ABS, according to a new report from Moody’s Investors Service. Mobile phone financing represents a shift from the previous business model of subsidizing phone purchases for customers with two-year service contracts. Many cell-phone makers and wireless carriers, such as Apple, Samsung Electronics, T-Mobile, AT&T, Sprint and Verizon, now use financing contracts in most of their phone sales. The most common form of financing is...
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Fannie and Freddie High-LTV Refinance Business Fell Off a Cliff in 2015 Despite Surge in Refi Activity

February 12, 2016
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac last year securitized just $14.40 billion of refinance mortgages with high loan-to-value ratios and no private mortgage insurance coverage, according to a new analysis by Inside MBS & ABS. That was down 51.7 percent from the total for 2014 and amounted to a drop in the bucket compared to the high-water mark for the Home Affordable Refinance Program back in 2012. The sharpest downturn was...[Includes two data tables]
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GSE Risk-Sharing Panelists Tout Benefits of Increased Participation from REITs and Mortgage Insurers

February 12, 2016
Panelists speaking at a seminar on Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac credit-risk transfers this week agreed that the program, while successful, could use some fine-tuning such as creating a deeper mortgage-insurance version and broader participation by real estate investment trusts. While REITS are active in credit risk transfers, their participation is small when compared to their role in non-agency MBS, said experts at the seminar sponsored by the Urban Institute and CoreLogic. Bill Roth, chief investment officer of Two Harbors, noted that REITs have purchased or retained the subordinate tranches in at least 60 percent of the non-agency MBS issued over the past three years, but just 2 percent of CRT deals issued by the government-sponsored enterprises as of July 2015. “REITs would love...
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Secondary Market Headache: Industry Implores CFPB To Issue Some Type of Relief on TRID ‘Error’ Loans

February 12, 2016
Investors in the secondary market are continuing to shy away from mortgages with so-called TRID errors – even minor ones – taking the advice of legal counsel and due diligence providers who are telling them to stay clear because of assignee liability issues. Late last week, senior executives from the Structured Finance Industry Group traveled to Washington to meet CFPB Director Richard Cordray, but one official familiar with the get-together said the regulator conveyed a message of “Thanks for coming in, but we don’t think there’s a problem.” For now, most of the concern about a stalled secondary market has focused...
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