Thanks to rising rates and sagging home values, early buyouts from Ginnie MBS are starting to look long in the tooth. Opportunities are out there, but are not for the faint of heart. (Includes data chart.)
The agency’s earnings increased in fiscal year 2022 while its MBS issuance declined by 30.5% on an annual basis. Ginnie defended its reliance on contractors and upcoming revisions to capital requirements.
For several quarters now, commercial banks have been hanging onto underwater non-QMs originated by their warehouse clients because a sale or securitization would blow a hole in the originator’s financial hull. But one of these days, the situation will come to a head, if it hasn’t already.
The FHFA will significantly reduce a controversial fee for comingled securities in UMBS; no consistent trend in delinquencies and losses across MBS and ABS in December; term SOFR not an option as GSEs leave LIBOR behind.
Expanded-credit MBS issuance declined by nearly 50% in the fourth quarter compared with the previous quarter. Prime MBS issuance fared even worse, essentially freezing during the final months of the year. (Includes data chart.)
Non-agency MBS issuance perked up in early January as investor demand improved. Redwood Trust offered a jumbo MBS after a year-long lull in issuance and expanded-credit MBS issuers priced deals at tightening spreads.