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Inside MBS & ABS

August 3, 2018

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Agency MBS Business Lays an Egg in July; Fannie Recaptures Some GSE Market Share

July is usually a good month for agency MBS issuance when the housing market is strong. In 2018, the fundamentals just weren’t there. Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Ginnie Mae guaranteed $101.39 billion of new single-family MBS last month, a disappointing 0.6 percent lower than in June. Purchase mortgages accounted for a substantial 74.4 percent of July issuance, although volume was up just 3.2 percent from June. The housing market ... [Includes two data charts] Read More

Nonbanks Find Relief from VA ‘Orphan Loan’ Debacle With Term Debt, But Many are Unhappy with Agency

Originators stranded with VA “orphan loans” that cannot be securitized in a Ginnie Mae MBS are finding temporary workarounds to deal with the problem, while maintaining hope for a potential solution from the government. However, few firms are holding their breath that Ginnie will come to the rescue, especially since the agency has maintained that only new legislation can solve the problem. The problem was caused by a quirk in a law aimed at preventing the churning of VA ... Read More

Home Price Appreciation Having an Impact on Issuance of Single-Family Rental Securities, Prompting Refinances

Refinances of outstanding single-family rental securitizations are accounting for a growing share of new issuance. The trend has been prompted, in part, by home price appreciation, which has made it more difficult for some firms to source new properties. Some $4.41 billion of single-family rental securities were issued in the first half of 2018, according to Inside MBS & ABS. Blackstone Group’s Invitation Homes dominates the sector. The firm, which merged with Starwood Waypoint Homes ... Read More

Credit Card ABS Stable as Stores Close, Performance Expected to Worsen Due to Consumer-Related Issues

Closures of stores that issued credit cards haven’t prompted a significant uptick in charge-offs in recent years, according to Fitch Ratings. Analysts suggest that consumer-related trends remain the main driver of credit card ABS performance, and performance looks poised to decline. A number of retail card issuers have declared bankruptcy, closed large numbers of stores or liquidated in recent years. Fitch analyzed the relevance of the aggregate number of locations closed per ... Read More

GSE Earnings Down on a Quarterly Basis, Freddie Calculates its ‘Return on Capital’

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac reported $6.96 billion in net income during the second quarter, down 3.2 percent from the previous quarter, and the duo have actively been working to trim their retained portfolios. Freddie has reduced its portfolio to $236.4 billion in the second quarter, well below the 2018 yearend purchase agreement cap of $250.0 billion. Its portfolio declined 1.9 percent in the second quarter but was down 16.7 percent from June 2017. Some 41.8 percent of ... Read More

S&P Reports Old CLO Classes Show Few Defaults; Moody’s Warns of Hidden Investor Risks in Docs

A report from a Standard & Poor’s structured finance team says several collateralized loan obligation transactions rated between 1994 and 2009 are about to close with minimal defaults while a re-port from Moody’s Investors Service warns that apparently harmless provisions of CLOs can actually increase risks to investors. It has been nearly a decade since the last CLO 1.0 deal was issued, and the last of these transactions are nearing the end of their lives, according to ... Read More

Prepayment Speeds on PACE ABS Are Expected to Quicken, and New Originations May Decline

The prepayment rates for ABS backed by Property Assessed Clean Energy programs are on the rise which can have mixed effects on the notes, warned Morningstar Credit Ratings in a new report. The monthly annualized conditional prepayment rates averages for residential PACE ABS rated by Morningstar have been increasing from “single digits to high teens” since 2016, said the credit rating service. “Investors should pay attention to prepayment rates because they can have ... Read More

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