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Inside MBS & ABS

July 24, 2015

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Commercial Mortgage Securitization Activity Nudged Higher by Strong Agency Multifamily MBS Issuance

A rebound in multifamily MBS issuance by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Ginnie Mae pushed total securitization of commercial mortgages up slightly in the second quarter of 2015. A total of $53.96 billion of income-property mortgages were securitized in the second quarter, according to a new Inside MBS & ABS market analysis. That was up a scant 0.6 percent from the first quarter of 2015. All of the gain came... Read More

Loan-to-Value Ratios on New Conduit Commercial MBS Surpass Peak Seen Before Financial Crisis

Moody’s Investors Service is worried about increasing leverage in commercial MBS conduit deals, which reached peak levels not seen since 2007. Issuance of non-agency commercial MBS has been strong in recent years, boosted by demand for conduit deals. In a recent report, Moody’s noted that the credit quality of conduit deals continues to deteriorate, with the third-quarter pipeline indicating further increases to loan-to-value ratios derived by the rating service. The Moody’s LTV ratio on conduit CMBS hit... Read More

Large Banks Add to Holdings of Residential MBS, ‘Demand Has Legs’ Due to Capital Requirements

Bank holdings of MBS have increased significantly this year, with the growth concentrated among large banks. Industry analysts suggest that large banks have increased their MBS holdings due to capital requirements, and demand is expected to persist for months to come, pushing up MBS prices. The 25 largest banks held a combined $1.15 trillion in MBS as of the end of June, according to an Inside MBS & ABS analysis of data from the Federal Reserve. The holdings increased by $63.90 billion compared with the end of 2014 and coincide with an increase in deposits at banks. “MBS performance so far this year owes... Read More

Mid-Year GSE Risk-Sharing Numbers on Track to Beat Last Year’s Total Issuance

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac risk-sharing transactions have gained steam in the first half of 2015 with the GSEs issuing $7.04 billion through the end of June, a 62.9 percent increase over the first half of last year. Since the credit-risk transfer program launched in July 2013, the two government-sponsored enterprises have sold $19.61 billion of CRT bonds to a growing universe of investors. The CRT bonds transferred a portion of the credit risk on some $704.45 billion of single-family MBS. In addition, Fannie and Freddie have purchased... Read More

An Investment to Avoid: Mortgage REITs. But Is it Really That Bad? Some Believe the Sector May Be Oversold

With bond prices expected to fall further and interest rates headed north, analysts who cover mortgage-investing real estate investment trusts are sharpening their knives on the sector. The general consensus is that share prices are going nowhere fast and returns are no longer attractive. A new report on mortgage REITs from Keefe, Bruyette & Woods doesn’t mince words: “Sentiment on the mREIT sector remains pretty poor, and we don’t anticipate 2Q15 results to do much to improve that. We’re not expecting a horrible quarter, but we anticipate slight disappointment along more or less all relevant dimensions.” Although many mortgage REITs have yet to report second-quarter earnings, the early expectations are... Read More

Angel Oak Provides an Update on Its Non- Agency Securitization Plans, Well Sort Of…

Angel Oak Home Loans is still contemplating issuing a security backed by non-agency, non-prime mortgages, but the company’s original self-imposed deadline of July is not going to happen, according to officials familiar with the Atlanta-based originator. As reported by Inside MBS & ABS last month, Angel Oak had been shopping around a roughly $100 million package of nonprime whole loans to several investors. It’s unclear whether any of the portfolio traded. The fact that the lender had been trying... Read More

Factors Favor Non-Agency MBS in Second Half 2015, Outlook Cautious on Agency MBS Basis at Mid-Year

Market factors are more favorably disposed toward non-agency MBS in the second half of the year than for agency bonds, according to a mid-year review and outlook from Deutsche Bank. “For the second half of 2015, we are cautiously optimistic for the non-agency MBS market, given the favorable fundamentals and technicals,” said Deutsche Bank analysts, who expect home price appreciation and servicer practices to continue to be the two biggest drivers of the MBS credit. On the technical front, the most important factor that affected legacy RMBS is... Read More

JPM Pays Big to Settle

JPMorgan Chase last week ended six years of litigation by agreeing to a $388 million settlement to resolve allegations that the bank misled investors about the quality of pre-crisis MBS they had purchased. Still requiring court approval, the settlement would conclude one of the last remaining MBS purchaser class actions arising out of the financial crisis, according to plaintiff attorneys. The suit was filed... Read More

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