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Inside MBS & ABS

May 30, 2014

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Banks Report Modest Increase in MBS Holdings In 1Q14, Preference for Fannie/Freddie Securities

Commercial banks and savings institutions held $1.521 trillion of single-family MBS in their retained portfolios as of the end of the first quarter of 2014, according to a new Inside MBS & ABS ranking and analysis of call report data. Bank and thrift MBS holdings were up a modest 1.0 percent from the previous quarter, but it marked the first increase since the third quarter of 2012, when the Federal Reserve began aggressively buying agency MBS and Treasury securities. Significantly, the increase in bank MBS holdings came at a time when new issuance was plummeting. MBS purchases...[Includes two data charts] Read More

RBS Securities Cutting Back on MBS Trading Business, Other Foreign Banks May Follow Suit

RBS Securities – which is 64 percent owned by the government of the United Kingdom – is shaking up its mortgage trading operation in the U.S., cutting staff and taking a close look at its future in an extremely tough American mortgage market. Officials at the bank’s MBS headquarters in Stamford, CT, did not return telephone calls about the matter, but several lenders and Wall Street executives confirmed that cutbacks have been made at the company over the past week or so. Frank Skibo, a managing director for RBS in Connecticut, and Ara Balabanian, a director in the group, also could not be reached... Read More

GSEs and Their Regulator Still Don’t Have a Handle On How Long CSP Will Take, or What It Will Cost

Building the new common securitization platform for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac may be the easy part. Plugging in the two government-sponsored enterprises is another story. Through the end of last year, the two GSEs had spent about $65 million to build the CSP, according to a report by the Inspector General of the Federal Housing Finance Agency. The IG estimated that Fannie and Freddie this year are spending about $6 million a month to continue that work. In fact, neither the GSEs nor the FHFA have yet come up... Read More

Consequences of Continued GSE Conservatorship And Exiting Without Backstop Called ‘Cataclysmic’

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac cannot remain safely in conservatorship indefinitely, and they cannot get out from under Uncle Sam’s protection without “cataclysmic” consequences to the government-sponsored enterprises, MBS investors and the market, according to a new Urban Institute study. While the Federal Housing Finance Agency and the White House can make minor changes administratively, the UI paper notes it would take an act of Congress to authorize substantial revisions to the GSEs’ bailout agreement. “They can take... Read More

Issuance of Agency MBS Backed by Modified and Re-Performing Mortgages Expected to Increase

Issuance of agency MBS has dropped off in the past year due to a decline in the supply of refinances. However, industry analysts expect that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac will boost the supply of agency MBS with issuance backed by modified mortgages and re-performing loans. Fannie and Freddie could have $250 billion in modified mortgages on their balance sheets, according to estimates by Deutsche Bank Securities. The two government-sponsored enterprises will likely unload the holdings via securitization, prompted by portfolio reduction goals established by the Federal Housing Finance Agency. Freddie has been... Read More

Prospects for Subprime Auto ABS Look Good, As Investors Move Down the Waterfall for Yield

U.S. auto ABS may have hit a few potholes in recent months, but seasonal factors and investors’ hunger for greater returns is strengthening the sector, especially for subprime deals, according to Wall Street analysts. “Subprime auto ABS continue to benefit from the hunt for yield,” said Elen Callahan and Kayvan Darouian, analysts with Deutsche Bank, in a recent research report. Many deals are oversubscribed and are often upsized, they added. “With spread differentials of up to 600 basis points, depending on issuer and tranche, investors who are comfortable with the asset class’s recent performance are moving from the top of the credit structure, down to the first-loss piece, to pick up yield.” Increased demand for subprime auto ABS subordinate bonds is... Read More

Single-Family Rental Securitization Market Expected To Thrive With Plenty of Demand from Investors

The market for securities backed by proceeds from single-family rental properties is set to grow from deals backed by a single firm to pools with multiple sponsors, according to industry analysts. The sector has produced more volume than the jumbo MBS market in recent months and investor demand for single-family rental securities remains strong. Rating services are projecting that single-family rental securities soon will come to market with multiple sponsors or borrowers in a single security. Kroll Bond Rating Agency released... Read More

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