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Inside MBS & ABS

December 9, 2011

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Fannie Drives Solid Increase in Agency MBS During November, Analysts Wait for HARP

Agency residential MBS issuance in November rose to its busiest level since the start of 2011, but seasonal slowdowns in housing activity and a refinance boom that’s losing steam suggest that the current wave is at or near its peak. Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Ginnie Mae generated a total of $114.53 billion in new single-family MBS during November. That was up 11.2 percent from October volume and marked the highest monthly production level since January 2011, when the agencies issued $137.76 billion. But consumer demand for refinance loans has been...(Includes two data charts) Read More

Industry Supports GOP Bill to Jumpstart Non-Agency MBS Market But Wants Some Government Involvement

Industry experts and trade groups said this week they were generally supportive of a House Republican bill to create a new non-agency residential MBS market, but they still want the government to have a role, however limited, in the final product. The Private Mortgage Market Investment Act, drafted but not yet filed by Rep. Scott Garrett, R-NJ, would create a heavily regulated MBS market made up solely of private entities that would function with no federal guarantee at all. Garrett, who chairs the House Financial Services Subcommittee on Capital Markets and Government... Read More

Analysts Predict Increase in Ginnie Mae MBS Buys as Overseas Investors Seek Basel III Compliant Assets

Foreign investors are the leading purchasers of Ginnie Mae MBS and may reinvest next year only in Ginnies for “safety” and to prepare for new tougher rules on capital and liquidity under the Basel III accord, according to analysts. Foreign investors currently hold $620 billion of the $3.45 trillion in U.S. MBS, and half of that is Ginnie Mae MBS. JPMorgan Securities analysts expect the Ginnie share of foreign MBS holdings to increase in 2012. They also expect U.S. banks to increase their Ginnie Mae purchases. Purchases by overseas investors, with an extra...(Includes one data chart) Read More

Lawmakers Criticize QRM Downpayment Size; Regulators Undecided on Reissuing a New Proposal

Federal financial regulators are still sifting through stacks of criticism about their controversial risk-retention proposal for the MBS and ABS market and have not yet decided whether to start over again with a new proposed rule, as most industry groups have urged them to do. The agencies are also getting a lot of push from Capitol Hill to re-think the original proposal, which was released in late March. “I am very concerned that if the qualified residential mortgage definition being worked out by regulators isn’t broad enough, it could hurt the housing market, especially... Read More

GAO Report Finds Flaws in Ginnie Mae’s Financial Reporting, Estimates May be Faulty

Ginnie Mae may not be accurately disclosing its financial exposures to Congress because it is not fully implementing federal accounting guidance and using critical information, according to a recent report by the Government Accountability Office. GAO auditors found that Ginnie Mae did not stick to federal accounting guidance in developing the inputs and procedures for reporting forecast costs and revenues. Under the Financial Accounting Standards Advisory Board guidance for preparing cost estimates of federal credit programs, reporting entities are required to develop estimates... Read More

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