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Inside MBS & ABS

October 28, 2011

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Analysts: FHFA Revision of HARP to Have ‘Modest’ Impact Overall, Expect Drop in Premium MBS Prices

As the picture of the revised Home Affordable Refinance Program finally came into greater focus this week, MBS analysts indicate that the impact of HARP 2.0 will neither be quite as terrible for MBS investors as feared, nor terribly helpful to the stagnant housing market and the economy at large. The Federal Housing Finance Agency made most of the changes the market expected and steered clear of one that might have boosted HARP business significantly: changing the eligibility cut-off date to give existing HARP borrowers a second crack at the program. The agency agreed to remove the 125 percent loan-to-value cap – although very little... Read More

Rep. Garrett Aims to Create a New Private RMBS Market While Retaining Some Federal Oversight

House Republicans have already introduced a variety of separate bills to clamp down on Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac while the two government-sponsored enterprises remain in conservatorship, and a key GOP lawmaker this week introduced legislation intended to jumpstart a private MBS market to take over when the agencies are finally dissolved. The Private Mortgage Market Investment Act, drafted by Rep. Scott Garrett, R-NJ, would create a heavily regulated MBS market made up solely of private entities functioning with no federal guarantee at all. The lawmaker, who chairs the House Financial Services Subcommittee on... Read More

Industry Experts Ponder How to Preserve the Best Parts of MBS Market in a Government-Free System

Mortgage securitization experts have not yet figured out how to preserve the liquidity and consumer benefits provided by the to-be-announced agency MBS market in a mortgage finance system that doesn’t have a role for government agencies. “The failure of the private market has been in figuring out how to encourage a solution with less government,” said Peter Nirulescu, a partner at Capital Market Risk Advisors, during a panel held by the Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association this week. Despite panelists’ varying perspectives, all agreed that the TBA market continued to perform robustly and any changes made to the... Read More

New Entrants Bring New Ideas to Rating Business, But Others Question Whether Much Has Changed

New regulatory requirements – including a controversial plan to assign ratings on a rotating basis – are encouraging firms to test the traditional approaches to rating MBS and ABS, but some observers say the reliance on an issuer-pay business model will be tough to change. New rating services are coming up with new ways to assess risk with more dynamic, ongoing reviews and more sources of information, and they’re less reliant on being fed information, said Stephen Kudenholdt, co-chair of the capital markets practice at SNR Denton. But the expectation that the market would shift to an investor-paid model clearly hasn’t... Read More

Covered Bonds Continue Gaining More Acceptance Despite Increased Pressures; U.S. Outlook Unclear

The European debt crisis, following not far behind the global financial market meltdown of a few years ago, has put more pressure on the covered bond market, but analysts at the ABS East conference sponsored by Information Management Network said the sector is holding up well and gaining more acceptance in other countries. Covered bonds have not been completely unscathed, said Michael Durrer, a partner at Sidley Austin LLP. But Canada is starting up a covered bond market, Australia has recently enacted legislation, New Zealand has seen its first transactions and Belgium – the last European... Read More

All Sectors of ABS Market See Dwindling Volume in 3Q11, Return to 2010 Pace

All the major components of the non-mortgage ABS market saw significant declines in new issuance during the third quarter, returning new production to the levels experienced for most of the past two years. Total ABS issuance fell 43.4 percent to $24.84 billion, according to a new Inside MBS & ABS ranking and analysis. That followed a surge to $43.92 billion in the second quarter, that helped lift the total for the first nine months of 2011… Read More

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