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Volume 18 - Number 18

August 31, 2018

CBO Says Expect Rising Rates if Housing Market is Privatized

New housing finance structures created to increase private capital would leave borrowers with slightly higher interest rates but greatly reduce federal costs, according to a new report from the Congressional Budget Office. The report examined several structures, ranging from a fully federal guarantee on mortgage-backed securities to a largely private market. On a “fair value” basis, it will cost the federal government $19 billion over the next 10 years to backstop an estimated $12 trillion in Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac mortgage-backed securities. The CBO notes the cost “represents the estimated amount that the government would have to pay private guarantors to bear the credit risk of the new guarantees.”

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