SOFR-linked debt is vulnerable to much higher rate volatility than those referencing LIBOR. This risk was highlighted last month when surging repo rates sent SOFR briefly to a record 5.25%.
California remains the mother lode for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. In the first six months of 2019, the GSEs purchased $58.1 billion in loans from the Golden State.
Although the non-QM portion of the non-agency market accounted for less than $10 billion in 2018, it could absorb more than $50 billion in former patch loans if it continues its current annual growth rate.