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2015 Origination Forecast: Cloudy with a Hint of Optimism

November 3, 2014
John Bancroft
If housing markets are stronger than expected and rates stay low enough, originations could hit $1.421 trillion next year.
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What We’re Hearing: 40 Percent of Lenders May Disappear Via M&A? / Less Competition? / They’ll be Back / Benjamin Lawsky, a Nice Guy, Really / Provident Exiting Certain States?

October 31, 2014
Paul Muolo
One veteran mortgage trade group official, a staunch Republican no less, told us that Lawsky is an “honest and bright guy,” adding that he understands the issues.
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Critics Find Plenty to Stew Over in New Risk- Retention Requirements for MBS and ABS

October 31, 2014
Participants in the residential mortgage market were largely pleased with the risk-retention requirements finalized last week for certain non-agency MBS. However, the requirements, which also cover commercial MBS and other ABS, drew a wide range of criticism from others. “The short version is that the rule doesn’t require meaningful credit risk retention where it counts, and imposes significant market-shaping safe-harbor requirements where skin in the game isn’t so important,” said Adam Levitin, a professor of law at the Georgetown University Law Center. He noted...
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Commercial Mortgage Securitization Up Sharply in 3Q14 As CMBS and Agency Multifamily Both Post Big Gains

October 31, 2014
A total of $51.18 billion of commercial mortgages were securitized during the third quarter of 2014 as the sector reached a new post-crisis high in new issuance, according to a new market analysis by Inside MBS & ABS. Commercial mortgage securitization rose 38.4 percent from the second quarter and represented the biggest three-month period in new issuance since the third quarter of 2007. For the first nine months of 2014, commercial mortgage securitization totaled $119.76 billion, down 24.4 percent from the same period last year. New issuance was off on a year-to-date basis because of the slump in production during the first half of 2014. Both sides of the market posted...[Includes one data chart]
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Industry to CFPB on Data Integrity: Your Standards Are Unrealistic

October 31, 2014
Thomas Ressler
The current supervisory expectation of a near-zero error rate is virtually impossible to achieve, lenders have told the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau.
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LoanDepot Expected to Sign Purchase Agreement on Mortgage Master

October 31, 2014
Paul Muolo
The privately held Mortgage Master is on track to originate $5 billion this year, all of it through the retail channel.
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Commercial MBS Market on Fire: Deal Volume Jumps 38 Percent

October 31, 2014
John Bancroft
Non-agency issuers produced $32.16 billion of new commercial MBS, a 40 percent increase from the second quarter.
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Academic Weighs in on GSEs' Future: Obama Should go with an ‘Administrative’ Solution

October 31, 2014
Charles Wisniowski
An administrative solution is already possible within the Housing and Economic Recovery Act of 2008, which grants the FHFA authority to bring the GSEs out of conservatorship.
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Ocwen CEO Erbey on Potential NYDFS Settlement: $100 Million is the ‘Minimum’

October 30, 2014
Brandon Ivey
Ocwen chief Bill Erbey noted that the settlement amount might be materially higher and include requirements beyond a monetary penalty.
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Short Takes: Ocwen’s ‘Other’ Problem / How Much Might Ocwen Pay? / A Boom in LO Hiring? / Citadel to Enter the Second-Lien Space / Strong Earnings from Radian

October 30, 2014
Paul Muolo
Ocwen Financial has a huge mismatch between the size of its $400 billion servicing portfolio and its new originations. Then again, its MSRs are running off...
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Latest Imf News

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As homeowner equity continues to build, more and more lenders are launching home equity lending products. Are you thinking of joining this market?

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