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KBW: A Change to the GSE Dividend Sweep ‘Unlikely’

November 13, 2017
Paul Muolo
KBW estimates that if the corporate tax rate falls, Fannie and Freddie, combined, would have to fork over to Treasury an estimated $13 billion to $19 billion…
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Short Takes: Time for a Hearing on Why There’s No Housing Inventory / The Russians Invest in Mortgages / Angel Oak’s Latest MBS / A Nonprime REIT? / Eight New LOs for Minnesota MB

November 13, 2017
Paul Muolo and Brandon Ivey
Maybe a REIT is the way to go in nonprime...
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What We’re Hearing: The Wilbur Ross Story / Tapping Mortgage Expertise / Enter the Phrase ‘Legal Proceedings’ and See What You Find / David Kittle and the Ginnie Mae Job / Reverse Lender has Record Month / A New Hire for Better Mortgage

November 10, 2017
Paul Muolo
You might say that Wilbur Ross got out of Ocwen while the getting was good...
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Senate’s Tax Reform Bill Maintains Higher Limit for Mortgage Interest Deduction but Housing Industry Warns of Other Faults

November 10, 2017
Brandon Ivey
NAR’s Mendenhall: such provisions “can turn the American Dream into a nightmare for families, as the rug is pulled out from under them.”
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As Promised: If the GOP Lowers the Corporate Tax Rate, the GSEs are in Deep Trouble

November 10, 2017
Carisa Chappell
“A significant reduction in the corporate tax rate would result in a significant net loss, and that could result in a loss for the year,” said Fannie CEO Timothy Mayopoulos…
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Higher-Priced Lending Increased in 2016

November 10, 2017
Originations of higher-priced mortgages increased significantly in 2016 compared with the previous year, according to an analysis by Inside Nonconforming Markets of data from the Home Mortgage Disclosure Act. The analysis excluded government-insured mortgages, multifamily loans and home-improvement loans. Some $28.61 billion of non-government-insured higher-priced mortgages were originated in 2016, up 28.9 percent from the previous year ... [Includes one data chart]
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When It Comes to Fed Balance Sheet Changes, Concern, Uncertainty and Caution Dominate

November 10, 2017
There are many unpredictable variables and economic factors outside the control of the Federal Reserve, which makes it hard to project the impact of winding down the U.S. central bank’s historic investment in agency MBS. But economic experts at Fannie Mae are cautiously expressed anticipating greater volatility, an inevitable financial shock and potential changes in the Fed’s strategy as markets evolve.
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Correspondent Platforms Feast on FHA, VA Securitization Market

November 10, 2017
Correspondent-based lending operations are accounting for a growing share of the FHA and VA home loans pooled in Ginnie Mae mortgage-backed securities, according to a new analysis and ranking by Inside FHA/VA Lending. In fact, correspondent originations are the only production channel to see year-over-year growth in FHA and VA business through the first nine months of 2017. Retail and wholesale-broker production is down for both FHA and VA loans. Correspondent programs are most dominant in the FHA market, perhaps reflecting a preference among large producers to have recourse to a primary-market lender if the government later finds defects in how the loan was originated. Correspondents accounted for 48.7 percent of FHA loans pooled in Ginnie MBS during the first nine months of the year, up from 43.1 percent in all of 2016. Volume was up 1.7 percent from the ... [Charts]
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Analysts Expect Positive Actuarial Results for FHA Insurance Fund

November 10, 2017
Analysts are predicting continued positive results in the forthcoming actuarial report to Congress on the status of the FHA Mutual Mortgage Insurance Fund. The FY 2017 annual report is expected to show stable FHA financials, which could prompt renewed industry calls for a cut to the annual mortgage insurance premium, according to a Bank of America Merrill Lynch analysis. Rising home prices and loan-to-value curing are likely to suppress forecasted losses in the MMIF’s single-family forward portfolio, enabling the fund to stay above its mandated 2.0 percent capital reserve ratio, analysts said. However, the BAML analysts see a “low likelihood of an actual cut in MIPs.” Although Department of Housing and UrbanDevelopment Secretary Ben Carson said he would study MIP reduction once a new FHA commissioner is confirmed, the Trump administration is less likely to ...
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Will Net Tangible Benefit Test Stop Churning? Yes, Analysts Say

November 10, 2017
A new net tangible benefit test for ensuring that a VA borrower benefits from a refinancing appears to be the obvious solution to the VA’s churning problem, according to analysts at Bank of America Merrill Lynch (BAML). Modeled after the FHA net tangible benefit test, the test seems to be a “foregone conclusion” for VA, analysts said. A Ginnie Mae/VA task force is currently working to resolve the problem, which is causing rapid prepayments in Ginnie mortgage-backed securities and raising serious doubts as to whether aggressive refinancing truly benefits veterans and servicemembers. “There is a critical need to ensure that veteran borrowers are not harmed by repeated refinancings through VA’s Interest Rate Reduction Refinance Loan program,” said Mortgage Bankers Association President/CEO David Stevens during a recent appearance before the House Financial Services Committee. IRRRLs, also referred to ...
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