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Inside The GSEs
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FHA Cracks the $1 Trillion Mark. New Issuance Exceeds Runoff

August 1, 2016
John Bancroft
Refinancing has been heavy this year. Ginnie MBS outstanding at the end of 2015 lost $99.51 billion of FHA loans through the first six months of 2016.
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Here Come the Nonbank Earnings. It Could Get Ugly

August 1, 2016
Paul Muolo
According to KBR, falling rates trimmed MSR values by roughly 6 percent.
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Commercial Mortgage Securitization Took a Tumble in 2Q16; Non-Agency Issuance Hits Four-Year Low

July 29, 2016
John Bancroft
Conduit deals issued in the second half of this year will benefit the most from spread tightening…
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Rate Plunge at End of 2Q16 Means GSEs Likely Took Hits on Their Derivatives; But Strong G-Fee Revenue May Soften the Blow

July 29, 2016
Paul Muolo
Next week, the GSEs will release 2Q results and all eyes will be on the line item that reveals the net gain or loss from their derivatives, the instruments the two use to hedge their MBS positions.
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Impac Posts Strong Profit Gain; Originations Increased 38 Percent in 2Q16

July 29, 2016
Brandon Ivey
Impac said that while it sells production, it is now retaining more than 80.0 percent of its mortgage servicing rights.
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Rate Plunge at End of 2Q16 Means GSEs Likely Took Large Hedging Losses; Strong G-Fee Revenue May Soften the Blow

July 29, 2016
When rates plunge at the end of a given quarter – as they did in June – it usually translates into large hedging losses for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. But this time around, there seems to be less chatter about the topic – and a reduced level of anxiety. Next week, both government-sponsored enterprises will release second-quarter results and all eyes will be on the line item that reveals the net gain or loss from their derivatives, the instruments the two use to hedge their MBS positions. In the first quarter of this year, Freddie posted...
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Plenty of Liquidity for Agency Mortgages Under Current Framework for GSEs; Reform Efforts Remain Unclear

July 29, 2016
Lenders originating agency mortgages are seeing plenty of demand in the secondary market, according to panelists at the California Mortgage Bankers Association’s Western Secondary Market Conference this week in San Francisco. “Capital is searching for a home,” said Rob Branthover, a managing director at Mortgage Industry Advisory Corp. He noted that many investors are focusing on agency mortgages. Mike Duncan, a senior hedge manager at Compass Analytics, said...
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Ohio Retirement Fund Lawsuit Reinstated Over Freddie Mac Subprime Loan Claims

July 29, 2016
The Sixth U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals overturned a lower court decision that had cleared Freddie Mac of charges that it misled investors about its involvement in the subprime mortgage market. The lawsuit was filed in 2008 by the Ohio Public Employees Retirement System, which claimed Freddie made false public financial statements that hid its exposure to risky loans. The fund alleged that it lost more than $27.2 million as the value of Freddie stock plummeted. OPERS said...
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More of the Same on Interest Rates from the FOMC, Expect Perhaps One Small Raise at Year End, at Best

July 29, 2016
Look for the Federal Reserve to repeat last year’s performance and raise interest rates one quarter of one percent in December, according to some supporters and critics of the U.S. central bank, enabling the Fed to say it did, in fact, lift interest rates this year. During its meeting in Washington, DC, this week, the Fed once again, as expected, opted to hold rates unchanged and did not tip its hand about a future move, although some market participants came away with the impression an increase in September is a little more likely than had been the case after the central bank’s last meeting. The Federal Reserve’s Open Market Committee last raised...
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Thanks to ‘Brexit,’ Second Half Could be a Humdinger for Loan Production

July 29, 2016
Brandon Ivey
Rob Branthover, a managing director at Mortgage Industry Advisory Corp., noted that purchase-mortgage originators are doing well…
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