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Inside The GSEs
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GSEs Working on Accounting, Tax Issues Likely To Emerge in the Transition to Single Security

January 20, 2017
Freddie Mac has begun talking with the Internal Revenue Service and the Securities and Exchange Commission about issues that are likely to crop up as the two government-sponsored enterprises implement the new Single Security, according to a summary of the most recent meeting of the Industry Advisory Group in December. One issue is the tax treatment of compensation that MBS investors receive for converting legacy Freddie participation certificates for the new uniform MBS, which will have a longer payment delay. “Although it is not definitive, we believe the IRS will ultimately view the float compensation as well as any incentive payment that is paid as part of the exchanges as taxable income when received,” the meeting summary states. Freddie provided...
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GSE Shareholder Case Outlook, Will the Trump Administration Make a Difference?

January 20, 2017
As a number of shareholder lawsuits against Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac hang in the balance, a new administration offers reasons for some to be optimistic on the cases coming to a close and the Treasury’s sweep of the government-sponsored enterprises’ profits coming to an end. During a Jan. 18 call hosted by Investors Unite, legal experts weighed in on the outlook for GSE shareholder cases just days before the inauguration. Plaintiffs have been arguing that a government bailout of the GSEs and the subsequent Treasury sweep was unnecessary and illegal. “As GSE shareholders, we are...
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Upwards of $20 Billion in Legacy Subprime Mortgages Could be Refinanced

January 20, 2017
Brandon Ivey
Black Knight studied loan-level data on outstanding mortgages to derive at its conclusion…
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Residential Production at CitiMortgage Down 14 Percent in 4Q16

January 20, 2017
Paul Muolo
Citigroup’s showing in originations paled in comparison to some of its megabank competitors...
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What We’re Hearing: Time for Steve to Talk to Mel / Going to Bed, Disappointed / The GSE Stock Bet: Buy Low, Sell High / Is Pershing Square Losing Money on the GSEs? / NAR Chief Stays Hopeful on MIP Cut

January 20, 2017
Paul Muolo
As one former GSE stock analyst told us: “There’s no way they can be privatized. To maintain an AAA rating they would need 25 percent (I’m guessing) capital to assets. Even at 5 percent there is not enough spread to earn a market return on capital.”
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FHA/VA Default Rates Spike Up In 4Q16, Nonbanks Still Growing

January 20, 2017
Mortgage default rates appeared to spike higher in the fourth quarter of 2016, according to a new analysis and servicer ranking by Inside FHA/VA Lending. Some 5.51 percent of FHA loans in Ginnie Mae mortgage-backed securities pools were reported as 30- to 60-days past due at the end of December. That was up 80 basis points from the previous quarter and was easily the highest default rate in the past three years. FHA default rates were also up in more serious delinquency categories: loans 60- to 90-days past due and those over 90-days late. The figures are based on loan count and are not seasonally adjusted. Similar trends occurred in the VA home loan guaranty program. The 30-60 category was up 41 bps, while 90+ delinquencies jumped 19 bps. The supply of Ginnie single-family MBS outstanding continued to set new records. The total, not including multifamily and FHA home-equity conversion ... [4 charts]
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Lenders Expect VA Refis to Drop in 2017, Rising Demand for Purchase

January 20, 2017
VA originations have been trending upward over several quarters, thanks to an unusually heavy share of refinance business, but all good things, at some point, must slow down, lenders say. The refinance business overall has fallen to 45 percent from 55 percent in the fourth quarter of 2016, and that will have an effect on VA originations in the first quarter of 2017, said Andy May, chief operating officer of the American Armed Forces Mutual Aid Association Mortgage Division. Going forward, May expects VA originations to fall by 10 percent in the first quarter due to rising interest rates. But even though rates have been trending up, May saw an uptick in VA loan applications in January as fence-sitters jumped into the market to take out a loan before rates went any higher. “The MBA estimates rates will rise above 5 percent in the next 24 months and then down to 4.8 percent by the end of 2018, and up to 5.3 percent at the ...
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If Trump Cuts Corporate Taxes, Fannie and Freddie Might Need a Treasury Draw

January 19, 2017
Brandon Ivey
Antonio Weiss, counselor to the secretary of the Treasury Department, cautioned that any reduction to the corporate tax rate could prompt a draw from Treasury funds by the GSEs.
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Nonbanks Increased Agency Servicing by Almost 22 Percent in 2016

January 19, 2017
John Bancroft
Nonbank servicers have a particularly big footprint in the Ginnie market, accounting for 53.6 percent of servicing outstanding at Dec. 31…
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Residential Lending Tumbles at BB&T; Mortgage Earnings Drop as Well

January 19, 2017
Paul Muolo
BB&T saw residential loan production decline in the fourth quarter while its servicing portfolio fell by less than 1 percent.
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