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Inside The GSEs
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Higher Interest Rates May Prompt Banks to Unload Fixed-Rate Product, Result in Fewer GSE Refis

February 10, 2017
Analysts at DBRS anticipate some notable changes in the residential mortgage securitization market this year, mostly as a result of expected higher interest rates. “Despite a healthy housing market recovery, post-crisis non-agency RMBS issuance has remained stagnant for several reasons,” said Quincy Tang, managing director of RMBS structured finance, in a new research report issued early this week. In addition to the dominance of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and bank balance-sheet capacity, “a persistently low interest rate environment has rendered...
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MBA Reform Plan Seeks to Preserve TBA Market, But Analyst Says Explicit Guarantee Questionable

February 10, 2017
The need to preserve liquidity and transparency in the existing to-be-announced market was an important component of the Mortgage Bankers Association’s newly-released plan for housing finance reform, according to Deutsche Bank Securities. Jeana Curro, research analyst with Deutsche, said a handful of provisions in the MBA’s latest proposal stand out as improvements from the industry group’s previous ideas on how to reform Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. She agreed...
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GSE Sellers Edge Toward Higher-Risk Mortgages, Nonbanks More Daring

February 10, 2017
Mortgage lenders that deliver loans to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac mortgage-backed securities continued to do gradually more business with borrowers with lower credit scores, according to an exclusive new Inside Mortgage Trends analysis of MBS data. In 2016, 21.4 percent of purchase mortgages securitized by the two government-sponsored enterprises had credit scores ranging from 620 to 699. That was up from 20.6 percent in 2015 and 20.5 percent ... [Includes two data charts]
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Mortgage Securitization Rate Near Record-Low in 2016

February 9, 2017
John Bancroft
Blame the whole loan-hungry megabanks for the low mortgage securitization rate?
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The Benefits of Owning Fannie/Freddie Preferred Stock Over Common

February 9, 2017
Paul Muolo
The two GSEs were placed in conservatorship in September 2008 by Treasury and the Federal Housing Finance Agency. At the time, their common and junior preferred shares were considered worthless.
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Government-Insured Originations Hit All-Time High in 2016, but Fell Off in 4Q16

February 9, 2017
John Bancroft
It doesn’t get any better than this: Ginnie Mae production hit a record $545 billion in 2016…
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Consumers Still Complaining About Mortgage Servicing Practices to the CFPB

February 9, 2017
Thomas Ressler
Complications tied to making payments (loan servicing, payments, escrow accounts), were identified by 33 percent of consumers filing a complaint.
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BlackRock Executive Craig Phillips Could Play a Role in GSE Reform

February 9, 2017
Paul Muolo
Phillips, managing director of financial markets/client solutions at BlackRock, is well known in MBS circles for his early days at First Boston…
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Short Takes: Time to Sell GSE ‘Juniors’? / Bruce Berkowitz, True Believer / What Fannie, Freddie and Sears Have in Common / Whatever Happened to Sears Mortgage? / Texas Capital Accumulating MSR Assets / First Franklin Settles FHA Charges

February 9, 2017
Paul Muolo
Besides the GSEs, one Fairholme’s most speculative investments is Sears Holdings Corp., the struggling retailer…
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Fairholme Explains That It’s Not a ‘Speculator’ in GSE Stock; Waiting on a Resolution that May Never Come?

February 9, 2017
In a new annual letter to shareholders, Fairholme Capital Management once again lays out its argument for investing in Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac stock, trying to explain to its wealthy investors that it feels more secure in owning junior preferred shares than common stock. Among other things, Fairholme said the preferred stock “provide(s) us with greater security and certainty than the common stock and, as you know, we are not speculators.” When it comes to a liquidation preference, preferred shareholders are senior to common shareholders, who often receive nothing when a company goes bust. But Fairholme’s problem – one shared by other firms that still own this class of stock – is...
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