The one category of distressed loan that the federal government has the most control over – mortgages insured by the FHA and VA – continues to show the worst success rates for loan modifications. After 12 months of post-modification seasoning, over half (51 percent) of government-insured loans were 60 days or more past due, according to a report issued this week by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency. That compared to an overall 60+ re-default rate of 39 percent. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac mortgages, along with loans held in the servicer’s portfolio, showed the best...

The timing and method of disposing of real estate owned properties will have significant implications for home prices, according to Fitch Ratings analysts. The supply of REO homes is unprecedented, with the large overhang of distressed properties in the housing market and weak demand, analysts said. The REO industry estimates that more than 2 million properties nationwide are in foreclosure and that 25 percent to 35 percent of all home sales are related to properties whose mortgages have defaulted. In a recent home-price projection report, which uses the rating agency’s Sustainable Home...

The outcome of the securities fraud case leveled against six former top executives of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac could hinge on what exactly is considered a subprime loan. At least one defendant is prepared to argue that there is no standard definition.In fact, the GSEs appear to still be reporting their subprime and Alt A exposure in much the same way they did in the period covered by the Securities and Exchange Commission lawsuits.Late last week, the SEC pulled the trigger on its three-year investigation of claims that the two GSEs failed to disclose to investors the companies’ exposure to subprime mortgages prior to the 2008 housing market crash.

The FHA will continue to play a critical role in the nation’s housing markets in 2012 even as it tries to balance the need to extend credit while reducing its market share to open the way for private capital to return to the mortgage market, according to industry observers. That means walking a tightrope in trying to keep the Mutual Mortgage Insurance Fund actuarially sound while trying to avoid piling on more fees and additional restrictions, which could hamper housing recovery, observers said. “We can’t have an economic recovery without a housing recovery,” said Brian Chappelle, a mortgage industry consultant. “The philosophical debate about the role of government in housing should be ...

The supply of outstanding single-family MBS in the market fell 0.6 percent during the third quarter of 2011, according to a new analysis by Inside MBS & ABS. There was a total of $6.544 trillion of single-family MBS outstanding at the end of September, the lowest level since the third quarter of 2007. Although MBS supplies have been declining steadily over the past four years, securitized loans actually represent a historically high 63.3 percent of total home loan debt outstanding as of the end of the third quarter. The steepest decline is in non-agency MBS, a...(Includes one data chart)

Reform of the government-sponsored enterprises is seen as an essential step toward the widespread resumption of non-agency securitization. However, industry analysts suggest that significant action on GSE reform will not begin until after the November 2012 elections. “We are still nowhere close to any legislation that has a realistic possibility of even being enacted,” said Lawrence White, a professor of economics at New York University, at a seminar this week hosted by the American Securitization Forum. “The can will continue to get kicked down the road until after November 2012.” ...

Servicing and delinquency issues in recent years have prompted three of the four major bank portfolio lenders to decrease their focus on portfolio originations. Meanwhile, Wells Fargo has indicated that it is willing to continue to increase its first-lien portfolio holdings, seeing attractive returns relative to other investing options. Bank of America and JPMorgan Chase decreased their first-lien mortgage portfolio holdings in the third quarter of 2011 compared with the previous quarter, according to the Inside Mortgage Finance Bank Mortgage Database. The banks ranked first and third, respectively ... [Includes one data chart]

Federal regulators have offered few clues on what is next for proposed qualified residential mortgage regulations, and the uncertainty in the marketplace has been cited as an impediment to the resumption of non-agency securitization. “The agencies are carefully evaluating all of the comments received and are now actively engaged in considering the many issues raised as we determine how best to proceed with the risk-retention rulemaking,” Acting Comptroller of the Currency John Walsh said last week. The extended comment period on the proposed rule closed in August ...

Non-bank servicers have received a reprieve from scrutiny by the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau due to a heated political fight in Congress. Despite a major push last week by the Obama administration, Senate Republicans blocked an attempted vote to confirm former Ohio Attorney General Richard Cordray as director of the CFPB. Last week, the Senate voted 53-45 on a motion to consider Cordray as director of the CFPB. At least 60 votes were needed to end a Republican filibuster. Scott Brown, R-MA, was the only Republican to vote in favor of the motion ...

The Treasury Department increased its threats against non-agency servicers regarding Home Affordable Modification Program performance. In a report released last week, the Treasury was highly critical of JPMorgan Chase and a number of other non-agency servicers remain on notice. Freddie Mac, acting as the Treasury’s compliance agent for the Making Home Affordable program, conducts quarterly assessments of HAMP servicers. In the third quarter of 2011, Chase was deemed to be in need of “substantial improvement” in compliance with MHA guidelines, the third quarter in a row for the servicer ...