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Home » Topics » Inside MBS & ABS » ABS

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Tobacco Settlement Revenues to Back a New $619 Million ABS; Fitch Pulls Away from Sector

April 7, 2017
Golden State Tobacco Securitization Corp. is preparing to issue a $618.8 million ABS backed by revenues from a tobacco settlement reached in 1998. Several states have issued such deals, though the sector received a blow last year when Fitch withdrew its ratings and criteria for tobacco ABS. Under the settlement with 46 states and Washington, DC, the major cigarette manufacturing companies must make payments to each state annually, in perpetuity. The payments are based on cigarette sales, among other factors. At the time of the settlement, the revenues for states were estimated to be $306.0 billion for the first 25 years of the agreement. States can issue...
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Taiwan Became Biggest Overseas Market for U.S. MBS and ABS, China Dropped to Third

March 31, 2017
Investors in Taiwan held $208.1 billion of agency MBS, non-agency MBS and ABS at the midway point of 2016, making it the largest overseas investor in the market, according to preliminary Treasury Department data. Taiwan increased its holdings of U.S. MBS and ABS by 9.6 percent from the midway point in 2015, a time period during which overall foreign investment was flat. Treasury releases annual estimates of U.S. MBS and ABS by individual foreign countries as of the middle of each year. The estimates include both government-related and private-sector investors domiciled in the country. Mainland China had been...[Includes one data table]
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Fitch Ends 2016 as Top Rating Service in Both Residential MBS and Non-Mortgage ABS

March 24, 2017
Fitch Ratings was the most active provider of credit ratings for non-mortgage ABS and non-agency MBS in 2016, a new Inside MBS & ABS analysis reveals. Fitch edged out Standard & Poor’s in a busy ABS market, garnering a 54.8 percent share of rated transactions last year. The company boosted its ABS ratings business by 4.6 percent compared to 2015, based on dollar volume, nudging its market share up 1.9 percentage points. Fitch’s deepest penetration was...[Includes two data tables]
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Delinquencies on Subprime Auto ABS Surpass Levels Of the Financial Crisis as Lenders Loosen Underwriting

March 24, 2017
Observers of the subprime auto ABS market are raising concerns as delinquencies rise above peaks seen during the financial crisis as lenders have loosened underwriting standards in search of market share. According to Fitch Ratings’ index of subprime auto ABS, 60+ day delinquencies on loans backing the securities hit 5.45 percent at the end of 2016. Delinquencies were up from 4.70 percent at the end of 2015 and 41 basis points higher than the peak for the sector in 2009. The index tracks an outstanding balance of $38.6 billion from 149 transactions. There were 21 active shelves in the index, up from 12 active issuers in 2010. “Smaller lenders along with recent new entrants are...
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Student Loan ABS Strength Jumps from Last Year’s Level, Especially in the Refi Sector, Analysts Find

March 24, 2017
Last year was a decent enough year for the student loan sector, and so far this year, the space is looking dramatically more robust, according to analysts at the DBRS ratings service. New issuance so far in 2017 is more than twice that from the same period last year, with volume exceeding $4.5 billion, according to Jon Riber, a senior U.S. ABS ratings analyst at DBRS. “There are...
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Ratings Services Skeptical About Former S&P Official’s Proposal to Address Rating Shopping

March 24, 2017
A proposal from a former high-ranking official at S&P Global Ratings to reduce incentives for rating shopping has been met with skepticism and resistance from officials at other rating services. Howard Esaki, the former global head of securitization research at S&P Global Ratings, and Lawrence White, a professor of economics, NYU Stern School of Business, recently published a proposal to reform the process for how rating services are selected to grade MBS and ABS. They said...
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Bank ABS Portfolios Continued to Shrink in 2016 as ABS Outstanding Barely Treads Water

March 10, 2017
The U.S. banking industry is a steady, but not a huge, supporter of the non-mortgage-ABS market, accounting for 17.4 percent of the supply of ABS outstanding at the end of 2016, according to a new call-report analysis by Inside MBS & ABS. By comparison, banks and thrifts held about 26.5 percent of MBS outstanding at yearend. Although ABS issuance since the financial crisis has dwarfed production of non-agency MBS, the market still hasn’t fully recovered. The Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association reports that total ABS outstanding – not including collateralized debt obligations – declined by 0.3 percent during the fourth quarter to $712.1 billion. That’s still well below the total outstanding at the end of 2007, $899.8 billion. Commercial banks and thrifts reported...[Includes two data tables]
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Little Utility Seen in Dodd-Frank Mandates on Reps-and-Warrants Reports by Rating Services

March 10, 2017
A transparency feature included in the Dodd-Frank Act aimed at helping MBS and ABS investors understand the representations and warranties on a transaction has created a significant amount of work for rating services with little benefit for investors, according to officials at ratings firms. Since June 2015, rating services have been required by the DFA to compare the reps and warrants on a transaction they’re rating with a benchmark set of reps and warrants for that asset class. These 17g-7 reports often span hundreds of pages, detailing similarities and differences between the reps and warrants on a specific transaction compared with a set of benchmarks established by the rating services. Claire Mezzanotte, a group managing director and head of global structured finance at DBRS, said...
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Prosper Marketplace Strikes $5 Billion Loan Deal With Investors; Moody’s Says It’s Credit Positive

March 10, 2017
Online consumer lender Prosper Marketplace, based in San Francisco, recently finalized a deal with a consortium of institutional investors to purchase as much as $5 billion of the lending platform’s unsecured consumer loans during the next two years. The consortium comprises investment bank Jefferies Group LLC and three asset managers: affiliates of New Residential Investment Corp., Third Point LLC, and an unnamed entity of which Soros Fund Management LLC serves as principal investment manager. Under the terms of the deal, the consortium will earn...
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Strong Turnout at SFIG Vegas Conference, But Investors Still Largely Lack Confidence in Non-Agency MBS

March 3, 2017
The SFIG Vegas conference this week set another attendance record for the annual event, demonstrating strong interest in the structured finance market. While investors are comfortable with most asset classes of MBS and ABS, significant concerns remain about non-agency MBS. More than 6,700 people registered for the conference, according to Jade Friedensohn, director of programming at Information Management Network, which produced the conference along with the Structured Finance Industry Group. Potential investors in non-agency MBS continued...
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