Less than $1 billion of credit card ABS were issued in the first nine months of 2020 even though outstanding deals are performing well. Delinquencies are expected to increase.
Strong performance of outstanding marketplace consumer loan ABS is bringing issuers and investors back to the market. But default risks will likely increase through the remainder of the year, according to analysts.
Auto-loan securitization remained the biggest ABS sector, but business-finance deals recorded the biggest third-quarter increase. Delta’s air-mile deal set the pace. (Includes two data charts.)
Growing student debt has exposed ABS backed by such loans to elevated risks, increasing the possibility the notes will not pay off by their final maturities.
Fitch has downgraded 37% of the airline ABS it rates. Kroll and S&P also recently conducted sweeping downgrades. The rating services said air travel isn’t expected to recover until 2023 at the earliest.