Major market indicators suggest the subprime auto ABS sector has finally returned to normal after the financial crisis, and prospects are good for a healthy market in 2014, according to research professionals at Wells Fargo Securities. “Subprime auto ABS has fully recovered from the recession, in our view,” John McElravey, head of consumer ABS research for the firm, and Bee Sim Koh, an associate in the unit, said in a recent market update. For example, new-issue volume in the sector rose...

Some industry analysts suggest that originations of purchase mortgages have been held back by potential borrowers’ debt-to-income ratios, which have increased along with rises in home prices. However, originations of purchase mortgages have increased in the past year as home prices have risen and it’s more than DTI ratios shutting certain borrowers out of the purchase market. Even though interest rates on mortgages remain at relatively low levels, housing affordability has been an increasing concern due to trends in home prices. Borrowers in parts of California, as well as Denver, Miami and Portland, could have difficulty qualifying for a purchase mortgage, according to a recent analysis by Zillow. Based on income, mortgage and home-value data for the fourth quarter of 2013, Zillow found...

New issuance of non-mortgage ABS surged to $49.68 billion in the first quarter of 2014, a strong 33.0 percent increase from the previous quarter, according to a new Inside MBS & ABS market analysis and ranking. The first three months of 2014 represented the strongest quarterly ABS issuance number since the third quarter of 2009, when $53.27 billion of new deals were issued. It was up a modest 1.7 percent from the strong start in 2013. All the major asset classes posted...[Includes two data charts]

Standard & Poor’s announced late last week that it placed 96 ratings from 20 servicer-advance ABS on watch for a potential downgrade and the rating service plans changes to its rating criteria for servicer-advance ABS. Industry analysts suggest that the actions could disrupt the market for servicer-advance ABS, as S&P has been the dominant rating service in the sector. S&P said downgrades on servicer-advance ABS are possible because the analysis that accompanied ratings on certain deals didn’t consider subordinated interest amounts as part of the ratable promise. “The CreditWatch placements reflect...

The Securities and Exchange Commission late last week gave the securities industry another month to file comments on a proposed rule that most participants already know they don’t like. Comments were originally due March 28 on the SEC’s latest proposal to require asset-backed securities issuers to make loan-level details about pending issues available to investors on their own websites, rather than the agency’s Electronic Data-Gathering, Analysis and Retrieval system. On the day the comment period ended, the SEC extended it to April 28. Many issuers and large banks think...

Investors plan to increase their holdings in what are known as esoteric ABS – such as container, timeshare, whole business and franchise loans, structured settlements and solar and renewables – more so than consumer or commercial ABS, according to a new survey from the DBRS credit rating agency. Higher-yield opportunities are likely a key reason investors will look toward esoteric assets in a period of exceptionally low interest rates, the survey found. “Over the next 12 months, market participants are...[Includes two data charts]

Issuers of MBS and ABS are concerned about new liabilities they are likely to face if they have to disclose loan-level information at issuance under a rule recently proposed by the Securities and Exchange Commission. In February, the SEC proposed requiring issuers to disclose loan-level data to investors on issuers’ own websites instead of on the Electronic Data-Gathering, Analysis, and Retrieval system, better known as EDGAR, the current platform for SEC-required disclosures. The comment period on the proposal was scheduled to close March 28. Preliminary comment letters submitted...

Bipartisan mortgage-finance reform legislation from leaders in the Senate focuses on replacing Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac securitization programs with a new government MBS guaranty, but it also includes options for MBS issued outside the proposed agency-like structure. Sens. Tim Johnson, D-SD, and Mike Crapo, R-ID, this week revealed the text of their Housing Finance Reform and Taxpayer Protection Act, which may have little chance of passage this year but may be the starting point for reform in the next Congress. Johnson-Crapo would create...

An affiliate of Nationstar Mortgage is preparing to issue an ABS backed by servicer advances and deferred servicing fee receivables, continuing a trend of nonbank servicers fueling their growth via securitization. Industry analysts suggest that the deals offer good returns to investors, even with regulators increasing their scrutiny of nonbanks. The $1.96 billion servicer advance ABS from New Residential Investment is expected to close on March 18, according to a presale report by Standard & Poor’s. The deal is set to receive a AAA rating from the rating service. “Based on the nature of the assets which historically display high recovery typically at the top of the waterfall, we would view...

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac sold some nonprime mortgage-backed securities during 2013 even though the government-sponsored enterprises have seen strong returns on these holdings in recent quarters. The GSEs held a total of $84.61 billion in nonprime MBS as of the end of 2013, according to a new analysis by Inside Nonconforming Markets. The holdings declined by 18.2 percent compared with the end of 2012 due to a combination of ... [Includes one data chart]