Issuance in the MBS and ABS markets seems to be humming along with tighter spreads. But industry participants warn investors should beware of over-optimism.
Foreign investors, mutual funds and pension accounts all gave way to the massive $550 billion increase in the Federal Reserve's MBS holdings. But depository institution portfolios managed to keep growing. (Includes three data charts.)
Demand for non-QM MBS has returned to pre-pandemic levels even though the deals include a significant amount of loans in forbearance and fewer protections for investors.
Issuance of expanded-credit MBS was expected to remain suppressed after volatility in March halted activity. After a strong second quarter, industry analysts revised their projections.
Hoping to buy non-QMs on the cheap for an upcoming securitization? Forget it. The bargains are all gone. The good news: New lending is increasing from severely muted levels.
The real estate investment trust is ready to take non-agency loan aggregation to pre-crisis levels, and believes investors are seeking the types of assets the company offers.
Investor demand for non-QM MBS is currently near levels seen before volatility in March, helping to sustain issuance volume. The deal flow could slow soon due to limited originations and economic trends.
Loans backing securitized products are holding up fairly well even though the use of forbearance has increased. A combination of investor protections and changes in underwriting practices is helping.
There’s a lack of standardization among non-agency MBS servicers regarding reporting of loans in forbearance. Investors are having difficulties understanding what exactly servicers are doing.
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