Look for increased volume of new non-agency mortgage-backed securities issuance – and more companies issuing these deals – in 2013, industry analysts say. Underwriting standards could loosen somewhat as investor demand strengthens. Through the beginning of December, $3.46 billion in non-agency jumbo MBS was issued in 2012, according to the Inside Mortgage Finance MBS Database. Redwood Trust accounted for 56.7 percent of that volume, with an affiliate of Credit Suisse Group accounting for the rest ...

Credit Suisse’s jumbo conduit is increasing its acquisitions and looking to issue more non-agency jumbo mortgage-backed securities, according to Luke Scolastico, a vice president at Credit Suisse. “We’re buying loans every day,” he said last week at a panel discussion hosted by the American Securitization Forum. “More last month than the month before, and more that month than the month before.” Credit Suisse has issued $1.50 billion in non-agency MBS so far in 2012. While the first deals ...

The guaranty fees charged by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are close to hitting a tipping point where non-agency mortgage-backed security issuance will be the more economic execution for new originations, according to some non-agency participants. “If the non-agency pricing is improving and the GSE pricing is worsening, at some point you’re going to hit a tipping point,” Luke Scolastico, a vice president at Credit Suisse, said last week at a panel discussion hosted by the American Securitization Forum ...

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, under directions from the Federal Housing Finance Agency, are close to issuing risk-sharing transactions, according to market participants. The securities will be structured to allow non-agency investors to take subordinate risk on government-sponsored enterprise mortgage-backed securities and will likely help set GSE guaranty fees going forward. Martin Hughes, CEO of Redwood Trust, said his company is currently under a non-disclosure agreement regarding risk-sharing ...

Investors in non-agency mortgage-backed securities are pushing back against a loan modification program proposed by the Obama administration that would target underwater loans backing their investments. “Quite simply, investors have already been significantly harmed by the poor performance of many of the mortgage loans in non-agency MBS, and the Market Rate Modification proposal would only increase the severity of losses suffered by institutional investors,” Tom Deutsch ...

Damage from Hurricane Sandy will have a negligible impact on mortgages in outstanding non-agency mortgage-backed securities, according to a new analysis by Opera Solutions. The servicing analytics provider said 45 non-agency MBS deals with $19.6 billion in outstanding balance have mortgages with exposure to significant damage from the storm and the likely affected balance is $6.0 billion. “Based on a detailed analysis of each portion of affected ZIP codes, the ultimate exposure is much lower ... [Includes four briefs]

The highly anticipated ability-to-repay rule from the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau is expected to perpetuate the status quo in the MBS market, with nearly all the action taking place at Ginnie Mae and the government-sponsored enterprises, according to speakers at a panel discussion hosted by the American Securitization Forum this week. The rule, which will provide legal protection for lenders that originate home loans meeting its “qualified mortgage” definition, will also likely continue the stream of plain vanilla mortgages that currently populate agency MBS. Edward Mills, a research analyst and senior vice president at FBR Capital Markets, suggested...

The dismissal of a lawsuit from non-agency MBS investors against the rating services was confirmed last week, including a ruling that ratings from Fitch Ratings, Moody’s Investors Service and Standard & Poor’s were not negligent misrepresentations. The U.S. Court of Appeals for the Sixth Circuit confirmed the September 2011 dismissal of a lawsuit brought by investors led by the Ohio Police & Fire Pension Fund. The lawsuit related to 308 AAA-rated non-agency MBS issued between 2005 and 2008, with the investors taking losses of $457 million from the securities. The investors claimed...

Analysts expect the U.S. economic recovery to continue on a slow, weak path into 2013 with the potential for a new recession that could weaken the residential MBS market. At Standard & Poor’s, analysts predict a “slow and uneven” economic recovery with a 15 percent to 20 percent chance of another recession that would be less severe than the 2008-2009 financial crisis but potent enough to sap the MBS market. S&P assumes a reversal in home prices and unemployment rising to near 9 percent in 2013, which could hamper borrower capacity to make their mortgage payments. Overall, S&P’s outlook for the single-family MBS market is...

As part of negotiations regarding the fiscal cliff, the Obama administration and Democrats in the House are seeking principal reduction loan modifications for borrowers with negative equity. The Treasury Department has reportedly proposed a program targeting borrowers with mortgages in non-agency mortgage-backed securities while the debate about principal forgiveness for loans held by the government-sponsored enterprises has also been rekindled. The Obama administration would neither confirm nor deny the non-agency proposal, but details regarding the Market Rate Modification program have prompted talk among industry participants and a detailed analysis. “In order to assist...