Years of warnings from securities issuers and investors about regulatory uncertainty appear to have shifted to actual consequences as liquidity in the MBS and ABS markets has declined significantly in recent months. Almost every panel session at the ABS Vegas conference produced by Information Management Network and the Structured Finance Industry Group this week included comments regarding liquidity and regulation. Daniel McGarvey, the head of U.S. asset-backed products origination at Societe Generale, noted that in recent months spreads on MBS and ABS have increased due to illiquidity. “Credit risk is not currently a driver of credit spreads,” he said. “This should be a concern for all of us in the securitization market.” Delinquencies and losses, traditional factors in liquidity, remain...

Analysts at Morningstar Credit Ratings have begun to see non-agency single-property investor loans materialize with a new twist: less dependence on the borrower’s ability to repay and more reliance on the cash flow stream of rental income. “The majority of loans made to landlords backed by single properties are underwritten as consumer loans, not business-purpose loans. The lender will scrutinize the borrower’s credit, income and assets,” RMBS analysts Brian Grow, Becky Cao and Olgay Cangur said in a new report. Also, rental income is included as part of the borrower’s overall income when calculating the borrower’s personal debt/income ratio and, thus, the probability of default. “Recently, Morningstar has been presented...

The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau plans to host a call-in with a handful of trade groups shortly regarding delays and secondary market snafus caused by its integrated disclosure rule, but whether any true regulatory relief will be offered remains to be seen. In the meantime, industry officials continue to complain about delays in loan closings caused by the so-called TRID rule and the losses incurred by some nonbanks because loans are sitting on warehouse lines longer, especially non-agency jumbo loans. Late this week, Dave Stevens, president and CEO of the Mortgage Bankers Association, told...

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac continued to trim their retained investment portfolios in late 2015 with most of the focus on shrinking their non-agency MBS and holdings of their own securities. Freddie Mac’s retained mortgage portfolio declined 15.1 percent last year, ending at $346.91 billion, safely below the $359.3 billion cap set by the Federal Housing Finance Agency. The government-sponsored enterprise reduced its non-agency MBS holdings by $25.60 billion, or 38.8 percent, from its yearend 2014 level. While that included hefty declines in both subprime and Alt A MBS, the biggest decline, 41.3 percent, was...[Includes one data table]

Fannie Mae has been actively buying delinquent mortgages out of MBS trusts and plans to eventually issue securities collateralized by the loans, said Timothy Mayopoulos, CEO of the government-sponsored enterprise. During a recent earnings call and question-and-answer period with the press, the CEO noted that the GSE has bought a “substantial” number of mortgages out of trusts with the goal of making them performing again. “Over the next year or two,” Fannie will...

The California Supreme Court late last week issued a ruling in a case where a borrower challenged the foreclosure of a loan that was included in a non-agency MBS issued in 2007. The court allowed the borrower’s claims to proceed, which could prompt a significant increase in foreclosure-related litigation for California mortgages in non-agency MBS. An opinion authored by Kathryn Werdegar, an associate justice of the California Supreme Court, stresses that the court’s ruling in Yvanova v. New Century Mortgage is narrow. “We hold only that a borrower who has suffered a non-judicial foreclosure does not lack standing to sue for wrongful foreclosure based on an allegedly void assignment merely because he or she was in default on the loan and was not a party to the challenged assignment,” Werdegar said. The ruling left...

Mortgage delinquency rates continued their upward trend in the fourth quarter of 2015 with the highest percentage of delinquencies recorded for the year, according to the Inside Mortgage Finance Large Servicer Delinquency Index. About 5.98 percent of the $5.194 trillion in home loans covered in the survey were in some stage of default as of Dec. 31, 2015. That was up from 5.85 percent in the third quarter of last year, but down from the 6.53 percent in the fourth quarter of 2014. The number of loans that were more than 90 days late witnessed the largest uptick, growing from 1.62 percent to 1.71 percent. The only category that showed any kind of a decrease was...[Includes one data table]

Commercial banks and savings institutions continued their buying spree in the MBS market during the fourth quarter of 2015, according to a new ranking and analysis by Inside MBS & ABS. Banks and thrifts held a record $1.644 trillion of residential MBS in their available-for-sale and held-to-maturity portfolios as of the end of last year. That was up 2.2 percent from the third quarter and represented a 6.8 percent gain over 12 months. All of the increase came...[Includes two data tables]

Panelists speaking at a seminar on Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac credit-risk transfers this week agreed that the program, while successful, could use some fine-tuning such as creating a deeper mortgage-insurance version and broader participation by real estate investment trusts. While REITS are active in credit risk transfers, their participation is small when compared to their role in non-agency MBS, said experts at the seminar sponsored by the Urban Institute and CoreLogic. Bill Roth, chief investment officer of Two Harbors, noted that REITs have purchased or retained the subordinate tranches in at least 60 percent of the non-agency MBS issued over the past three years, but just 2 percent of CRT deals issued by the government-sponsored enterprises as of July 2015. “REITs would love...

Fitch Ratings proposed a number of changes to its residential MBS loss model this week, as part of an annual review. The changes would prompt slightly lower loss expectations for most of the types of deals that are currently being issued. The rating service said the most meaningful proposed change with a positive implication on loss expectations is expected to be a lower default assumption for borrowers with strong equity positions. The lower default assumption was prompted by a proposed Cure Rate Adjustment. Fitch said...