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Moody’s: Easing Standards Driving Up Securitization Risk Following Post-Financial Crisis Low Levels

March 23, 2012
Moody’s Investors Service is cautioning that the securitization market is again seeing elevated levels of risk, though not as bad as the go-go days before the 2008 bubble burst. In a report issued last week, Moody’s cited relaxed underwriting standards, more complex structures and the entrance of untested market participants over the last two years as signs of credit easing in a number of asset classes, including autos, credit cards, and commercial and residential property. “This reversion is not unusual for this phase of the credit cycle, when providers of credit typically start to relax standards...
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ResCap Facing Downgrade, Bankruptcy, Sale

March 23, 2012
Ally Financial may be getting closer to ridding itself of its non-agency mortgage unit, ResCap, the residual of a business formerly known as Residential Capital that helped invent the jumbo securitization and Alt A markets. According to reports, Ally is weighing putting ResCap into bankruptcy as a prelude to selling the business to Fortress Investment Group or another suitor. Ally’s primary mortgage business, GMAC Mortgage, is a top seller-servicer in the agency market. ResCap and GMAC Mortgage are separate entities that are both subsidiaries of the holding company that also owns Ally...
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Fannie Mae’s Cost-Cutting Proposal Puts Major Underwriters of Lender-Placed Insurance at Risk

March 15, 2012
A Fannie Mae proposal to reduce the cost of lender-placed homeowner insurance might be great news for borrowers but not for insurance companies that underwrite the product, warned Moody’s Investors Service. While Fannie has not disclosed the full details of its cost-reduction proposal, the government-sponsored enterprise plans to place policies directly with insurance companies, rather than accept policies put in place by the mortgage lender. Last week, the GSE issued a “request for proposals” inviting insurance companies to compete for the GSE’s lender-placed business. The request is...
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Fitch: Principal Reduction Benefits Must Be Weighed Against Moral Hazard Risk to RMBS Investors

March 9, 2012
Principal reductions hold the potential for a positive impact on the mortgage market by preventing some foreclosures, but residential MBS investors stand to lose from an improperly implemented, wide-ranging loan modification effort, according to Fitch Ratings. The mandated principal reduction provisions in the recent $25 billion settlement involving state attorneys general, the federal government and the five largest mortgage servicers appear to be a “sensible approach” as loan modifications with principal reductions have performed better than other types of mods, but Fitch noted the benefit comes with a...
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Moody’s Says AG Settlement Will Nurse Fledgling Housing Recovery Ahead, Impact on RMBS Muted

February 24, 2012
The long-anticipated settlement among mortgage servicers, state attorneys general and federal agencies will be a positive for the housing market but have a modest impact on non-agency MBS, according to Moody’s Investors Service. The deal provides $10 billion for principal reduction loan modifications, and coupled with an expansion of the Home Affordable Modification Program, should help up to 1 million homeowners avoid foreclosure, Moody’s said. That may be a relatively small number compared to the 14.6 million households that are underwater, but it will help curb the flow of foreclosed...
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U.S. Triparty Repo Market Draws Investors Again With Deep Discounts, Subprime, Alt A Collateral

February 9, 2012
A new report from Fitch Ratings finds that risk appetite is returning to the U.S. triparty repo market, thanks in part to deeply discounted collateral, much of which is in the form of Alt A and subprime residential MBS and collateralized debt obligations. Fitch’s study of the market is based on repo transaction information drawn from a sample of the 10 largest U.S. prime money market funds’ financial statements. Fitch’s sample encompasses about $90 billion in repo transactions as of the end of August 2011, which represents slightly more than 5 percent of the $1.6 trillion U.S. triparty repo market...
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Moody’s Ranked as Top Rating Service in ABS Market, But Last in Non-Agency MBS

February 9, 2012
Moody’s Investor Services ranked as the most active rating service in the non-mortgage ABS market last year, but finished 2011, as the least involved in non-agency MBS activity, according to a new Inside MBS & ABS ranking and analysis. Moody’s rated a total of $89.3 billion of non-mortgage ABS last year, or 70.4 percent of total issuance. That was up from a 53.7 percent share in 2010, when Moody’s rated some $58.9 billion and finished second to Standard & Poor’s. Moody’s strengths in 2011 were in the credit card, vehicle finance and business loan sectors, capturing over 70.0 percent of each of those...
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Ratings Uncertainty, Changing Investor Attitudes Are Key Factors in Sluggish Non-Agency MBS Market

February 3, 2012
New regulations are re-shaping the non-agency MBS market, but economic issues, the ratings process and shifting investor appetite may have more to do with the stalled recovery in the sector, experts said during the American Securitization Forum conference last week in Las Vegas. John Arnholz, a partner at Bingham McCutchen LLP, suggested that the regulators will end up issuing a new proposed rule on risk retention, given the widespread opposition to the original proposal. The proposed premium capture recovery fund idea “came out of nowhere,” he said, adding that there is a good deal of dissent among the six...
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Mixed Feelings on New Non-Agency MBS

February 3, 2012
Redwood Trust’s four non-agency mortgage-backed securities – the latest of which was issued last week – have been generally well received by MBS investors. However, some investors, potential issuers and even the rating services have raised concerns regarding the non-agency MBS ratings process, both for Redwood and for other potential securitizers. A senior official at one of the rating services suggested to Inside Nonconforming Markets that ratings shopping is still occurring, and that the Redwood deals have been rated by the firms with the lowest credit-enhancement requirements ...
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News Briefs

February 3, 2012
A settlement involving major servicers and state attorneys general could be close, as state AGs have until Feb. 6 to agree to a potential $25 billion settlement. Negotiations on the settlement have dragged on for 15 months and were previously slated to end Feb. 3. Ally Financial, Bank of America, Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase and Wells Fargo would reportedly be included in the settlement. Some $17 billion in penalties paid by the banks would go toward principal reductions, $5 billion would go toward a reserve account that would ... [Includes three briefs]
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