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Transition Away from GSEs Likely to Take at Least 10 Years with Non-Agency Funding Difficult to Raise Quickly

February 21, 2014
The capital markets risk-sharing transactions completed by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac in the past year are seen by some as a model for reform of the government-sponsored enterprises. However, the GSEs are taking on significantly more risk in the transactions than the non-agency first-loss requirements contemplated in legislation pending in Congress. Analysts at Barclays Capital project that after Congress approves mortgage-finance reform legislation, it would take at least 10 years to transition smoothly to a new system. Bills in Congress contemplate a five-year transition timeline, but raising enough private capital to fund the new system in that timeframe could be difficult. Industry analysts predict...
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Private Student Loan Performance Continues Slow Improvement; Defaults, Delinquencies Still Elevated

February 21, 2014
The private student-loan sector continues to slowly improve, but defaults and delinquencies are still at elevated levels compared to the period before the financial crisis, according to a new report by analysts at DBRS, based on data from deals that closed between 2002 and 2007. Quarterly gross defaults, as measured as a percentage of loans in repayment, slipped from 1.07 percent in the third quarter of 2013 to 1.00 percent in the fourth quarter. Similarly, the percentage of gross defaults as a percentage of the original pool balance declined from 0.55 percent to 0.50 percent. “Defaults have remained...
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Strong Demand for Commercial MBS Prompts More Issuance, Looser Underwriting Standards

February 14, 2014
Issuance of agency and non-agency commercial MBS increased 13.5 percent in 2013, according to a new analysis by Inside MBS & ABS, although production dropped sharply in the fourth quarter. Industry participants expect that volume will continue to grow as investor demand for commercial MBS remains strong despite some loosening of underwriting standards. Ken Cheng, a managing director at Morningstar Credit Ratings, said...[Includes one data chart]
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Non-QMs in MBS Face Higher Loss Expectations

January 31, 2014
Mortgages included in new non-agency mortgage-backed securities that fall outside of the safe harbor for qualified mortgages will be assigned higher loss expectations, according to criteria released last week by Standard & Poor’s. Other rating services have released similar criteria, with credit-enhancement requirements expected to be higher for non-agency MBS that include loans other than safe harbor QMs. The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau’s ability-to-repay rule established a number of ...
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House Quartet Wants Watt to Expand GSE Use of Credit Score

January 24, 2014
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac should revise their seller/servicer guidelines to allow use of credit scores from more than one provider in order to “foster competition,” according to a bipartisan quartet of House Financial Services Committee members. In a letter sent to Federal Housing Finance Agency Director Mel Watt, Reps. Ed Royce, R-CA; Spencer Bachus, R-AL; James Himes, D-CT; and Carolyn Maloney, D-NY, said that the GSEs should not be restricted to relying on credit scores provided solely by the Fair Isaac Corp.
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Moody’s Critical of AAA Rating from Other Firms On Commercial MBS Deal as Market Heats Up

January 10, 2014
A commercial MBS issued in late December that received AAA ratings from Fitch Ratings and Standard & Poor’s wouldn’t have been rated higher than A1 by Moody’s Investors Service. Moody’s said the $375 million RBS Commercial Funding Inc. 2013-GSP Trust lacked structural support to obtain the highest ratings. The deal was a single-asset transaction without subordinate classes to absorb expenses that the trust can’t pass along to the borrower. “In cases where a subordinate class is not present to protect highly rated senior investors, some other feature, such as a reserve fund, has been employed to mitigate the risk,” according to Daniel Rubock, a senior vice president at Moody’s. “The GSP Trust lacks any such structural mitigant.” Fitch said...
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SEC Reports Improved Compliance by Ratings Firms, But Audit Still Finds Issues, Deficiencies

January 10, 2014
Nationally-recognized credit-rating agencies continue to show improvements in certain problem areas despite new concerns raised by federal examiners in their latest review, according to a Securities and Exchange Commission staff report. The SEC’s 2013 credit-rating agency examinations found deficiencies in eight key areas, particularly in the credit-rating agencies’ internal controls. Examiners stopped short of branding their “essential findings” as “material regulatory deficiencies,” although the SEC may do so in the future and require stronger corrective action, the report noted. Based on the latest exams, the SEC’s Office of Credit Ratings found...
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Demonstration of Compliance with QM, ATR Requirements Seen as Key for MBS Issuers

December 13, 2013
The rating services will put an emphasis on documentation of compliance with requirements for qualified mortgages and new ability-to-repay provisions. Credit-enhancement requirements appear as though they will be unchanged for the majority of jumbo MBS issued beginning in 2014, though issuers might have to make adjustments to prove to the rating services that they are compliant with new requirements from the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau. “Since most of what is being originated today already meets the standards of the rules, DBRS believes that the real challenge lies in unequivocally demonstrating QM and ATR compliance to the market and establishing confidence in the soundness of the systems and procedures that will be used to determine and ensure compliance,” DBRS said. The rating service recently released...
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Rating Services Put Emphasis on Due Diligence

November 27, 2013
Due diligence can be a more significant factor in the rating of a jumbo mortgage-backed security than the representations and warranties on the deal, according to Kroll Bond Rating Agency. However, major investors in non-agency MBS have expressed concerns about due diligence on new deals along with the adequacy of disclosures. At a structured-finance investor conference hosted by KBRA this month, the rating service noted that it doesn’t adjust expected losses or credit enhancement for variations in ...
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Fitch Weighs ATR and QM Compliance Standards for Future Non-Agency MBS

November 15, 2013
Fitch Ratings released its “initial perspective” this week on how the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau’s ability-to-repay rule and requirements for qualified mortgages will impact ratings for new non-agency MBS. That makes Fitch the first rating service to provide formal insight on how the CFPB rule, which takes effect Jan. 10, will impact jumbo mortgage securitization. Fitch is considering requiring issuers to state the QM status of any mortgage to be included in an MBS, putting a greater emphasis on lender compliance and due diligence, and a focus on representations and warranties for compliance with the ATR rule and QM standards. “The rating approach will likely focus...
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