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Small Rating Agency Downgrades MGIC, Industry Analysts Doubt FHA Premium Cut, PMIERs Will Yield Ratings Actions

April 2, 2015
Most analysts are confident that private mortgage insurance companies will not see their ratings downgraded due to increased competition from the FHA as well as new capital requirements for private MIs proposed by the Federal Housing Finance Agency. But Zacks Investment Research, a research firm that ranks and rates investment products for investors, went against the grain and downgraded MGIC Investment Corp. by two notches due exactly to those reasons. While private MIs have been gaining market share in the last couple of years, Mortgage Guaranty Insurance Corp. and its business competitors will find...
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FHA Open to New Credit Scoring Models To Boost Access to Mortgage Financing

April 2, 2015
In efforts to expand mortgage access and get more homeowners in the door, Housing and Urban Development Secretary Julian Castro said the FHA is looking into alternative credit scoring models. Speaking at a credit access symposium at the National Association of Realtors this week in Washington, DC, Castro said, “We want to make it more affordable, realistic and more feasible for folks to become homeowners.” He acknowledged...
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Non-Agency MBS Investors in Subordinate Tranches Support Ocwen as Servicer

March 20, 2015
A number of non-agency MBS investors with mezzanine and subordinate positions in deals serviced by Ocwen Financial support the troubled servicer, according to industry participants. The investors have pushed back against an effort by other investors holding senior tranches to get servicing transferred from Ocwen. “Ocwen is a critically important servicer in private-label residential MBS,” John Devaney, CEO of United Capital Markets, wrote in a recent letter ...
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Large Coastal States Account for Bulk of FHA/VA Securitizations

March 20, 2015
Security issuances backed by FHA and VA loans totaled $267.6 billion in 2014, with several large states accounting for a significant share of FHA/VA originations. An estimated $158.1 billion of FHA-insured loans, including modified loans, were securitized last year, with purchase home loans comprising most of the transactions. Approximately $30.0 billion of FHA refinance loans were securitized as well. The FHA MBS had an average loan-to-value ratio of 92.3 percent and a debt-to-income ratio of 40.1 percent. The average FICO score was 672.3, which was indicative of first-time homebuyers and borrowers with slightly tainted credit. First-ranked California, Texas (#2) and Florida (#3) combined for a total of $48.0 billion, which represented 30.3 percent of FHA loans in Ginnie Mae mortgage-backed securities in 2014. Fourth-ranked New York reported a total of $6.7 billion while ... [ 2 charts]
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Reps and Warrants on New Jumbo MBS Seen As Providing Investors with Mixed Protection

March 13, 2015
The representations and warranties used in jumbo MBS can sufficiently handle some breaches but fail to completely protect investors, according to Moody’s Investors Service. In a report released this week, the rating service noted that issuers use two main varieties of reps and warrants: those that allow for an open-ended review of loans and those that employ a prescriptive framework. The open-ended reviews are seen in jumbo MBS from Redwood Trust, WinWater Home Mortgage and others...
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Marketplace Lending Seen as a Promising New Asset For Securitization, But Some Concerned by Demand

March 6, 2015
What started as an alternative to investing in certificates of deposit has attracted interest from institutional investors and even some ABS issuance. Marketplace lending, also known as peer-to-peer lending, has strong growth prospects, according to industry analysts. Eric Rapp, a senior vice president at DBRS, estimated that $9.0 billion in marketplace loans were originated in 2014, including personal loans and financing for small business, students and real estate. “It’s still relatively small, but it’s got a fast growth trend,” he said late last week during a teleconference hosted by DBRS. Rapp said...
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Moody’s Placing New Emphasis of Data Quality In Evaluating Structured Finance Transactions

March 6, 2015
Issuers and other participants in future structured-finance deals will face a higher hurdle of data quality expectations from Moody’s Investors Service, according to a new credit rating methodology the company put out this week. An important part of the initial rating analysis that Moody’s will perform of a structured security is an evaluation of the attributes of the assets that underlie it, the document said. “In assessing those characteristics, we typically use...
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Moody’s Using New Rating Criteria for MBS

March 6, 2015
Moody’s Investors Service started using new criteria to rate prime non-agency mortgage-backed securities at the end of February. As part of the new criteria, the rating service is allowing non-agency MBS issuers to have access to the tool used to estimate Moody’s initial calculation of triple-A stress loss for a potential security. Moody’s Individual Loan Analysis model, known as MILAN, will be the main quantitative tool for collateral analysis by ...
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Due Diligence a Priority on Jumbo MBS

February 20, 2015
With new consumer disclosures from the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau set to take effect in August and lenders still grappling with the ability-to-repay rule, due diligence is likely to continue to be a high priority for loans included in jumbo mortgage-backed securities, according to industry participants. Only a handful of jumbo MBS issued in recent years have included third-party due diligence for fewer than 100 percent of the loans. Issuers have been ...
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Fitch Cites Origination Practices on Jumbo MBS

February 20, 2015
A planned jumbo mortgage-backed security from Credit Suisse received some criticism from Fitch Ratings due to concerns about the origination practices of some of the lenders that contributed mortgages to the deal. The rating service increased its default assumptions for the $405.27 million CSMC 2015-1. “Fitch applied a conservative treatment – higher probability of default – due to its limited visibility to the individual lender origination practices ...
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