Bond and MBS prices held steady this week, but market watchers expect that volatility, in general, will persist on pricing until the Federal Open Market Committee meets later in the month to discuss the fate of short-term interest rates. Deutsche Bank, among others, predicts that the FOMC will call for a rate hike then, but it isn’t entirely certain given China’s financial problems. If China continues to crater, the Fed could hold off. Others are predicting...

Federal regulators have implemented a number of rules in recent years aimed at moving banks away from a reliance on credit ratings when making investing decisions. Officials at the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. stress that if a bank’s management doesn’t have comprehensive understanding regarding a security, the bank shouldn’t invest in the MBS or ABS. “The gist of these new requirements is simple: banks should understand the risks associated with the securities they buy and should have reasonable assurance of receiving scheduled payments of principal and interest,” said Robert Hendricks, capital markets policy analyst at the FDIC. In an FDIC report, Hendricks provided...

Securitized FHA,VA and rural housing loans in Ginnie Mae mortgage-backed securities totaled $188.5 billion in the first six months of 2015, fueled by significant purchase and refinance activity, according to an Inside FHA/VA Lending analysis of Ginnie Mae data. An estimated $113.4 billion in FHA-insured mortgages were securitized during the first half of the year. Of that total, $60.6 billion were purchase mortgages and $44.2 billion were refinance loans. FHA purchase-loan production increased 58.8 percent in the second quarter from the prior quarter while refi lending jumped 160.8 percent over the same period as FHA’s reduced annual mortgage insurance premium began to take hold. The FHA loans that went into Ginnie MBS showed an average loan-to-value ratio of 92.8 percent and an average debt-to-income ratio of 39.7 percent. Borrowers’ average FICO score was 675.9, which was indicative of ... [ 2 charts ]

Over the past year, small and medium-sized lenders have dominated the activity in the merger and acquisitions market, but all that could be changing as consolidation fever begins to gather steam and larger, struggling players consider a take-out strategy. Also, the recent announcement that the Blackstone Group would buy a majority stake in Stearns Lending – the nation’s 12th largest originator – has sparked hopes among investment bankers that potential sellers are finally lowering their expectations when it comes to price. An offering book on Stearns had been circulating for at least a year. Meanwhile, analysts who follow Stonegate Mortgage, which ranks 25th among originators, this week suggested...

Commercial banks and savings institutions continued to grow their investments in agency MBS during the second quarter of 2015, according to a new Inside MBS & ABS ranking and analysis. Banks and thrifts held $1.583 trillion of agency and non-agency MBS on their balance sheets at the end of June. That was up just 0.3 percent from the first quarter, but it was the highest level since the first nine months of 2012, when bank and thrift MBS holdings topped $1.60 trillion. All the gain came...[Includes two data tables]

Two more long-running legacy MBS lawsuits were resolved last week after defendants Goldman Sachs and Deutsche Bank separately agreed to settle with plaintiffs. The NECA-IBEW Health & Welfare Fund, a union pension fund in Decatur, IL, is seeking preliminary court approval of a $272 million settlement with Goldman Sachs on behalf of entities that purchased MBS issued by defendant GS Mortgage Securities and which Goldman underwrote. If approved, the settlement would put...

Investors have a lot more to worry about these days than the collateral damage stemming from problems in Greece and China and a bumpy U.S. stock market. Ratings analysts indicate some new energy-related risks – most notably earthquakes near “fracking” sites and a plunge in the price of oil – have emerged as potentially significant challenges to investors in real estate and to mortgage lenders. Analysts at Standard & Poor’s said in a recent client note that earthquakes in proximity to fracking sites introduce a unique risk factor into the investment equation for those with a stake in real estate located in affected regions. “In particular, determining whether or not earthquake coverage is...

Issuance of jumbo mortgage-backed securities has slowed somewhat this summer, with a lack of consensus from industry participants on whether it’s worth participating in the market. Barclays Capital, which helps fund jumbo MBS activity, said the deals offer about 50 basis points of option-adjusted spread compared with agency MBS. Analysts at Barclays said newly-issued jumbo MBS are attractive for investors less concerned about liquidity. Officials at Anworth Mortgage Asset Corp ...

The monitor of a $2.0 billion settlement involving Ocwen Financial revealed last week that the nonbank was found to have failed another metric under the settlement. However, the monitor noted that Ocwen has worked to address many of the issues that have dogged the company over the past year. The monitor re-tested Ocwen on a number of metrics under the settlement due to concerns that were raised about the integrity of the servicer’s internal review group ...

Real estate investment trusts that focus on the MBS market saw the value of their holdings slump again during the volatile second quarter of 2015. Top mortgage REITs reported a fair market value of $249.10 billion for their single-family MBS holdings as of the end of June. That was down 5.6 percent from the previous quarter, and it was the group’s lowest MBS portfolio valuation since the fourth quarter of 2011. The decline came...[Includes one data table]