Investors should see a higher share of VA collateral in Ginnie Mae mortgage-backed securities pools due to increasing VA loan originations, according to Deutsche Bank analysts. Given their rising share of VA collateral, new Ginnie pools are likely to have worse convexity than most of those originated in 2015, analysts said. “VA loans tend to prepay faster than FHA loans when in the money as VA loans have larger loan sizes, higher FICO scores and a more efficient streamline refi program that requires a minimum three months seasoning,” they observed. In addition, analysts expect the population of younger veterans to surge approximately 36 percent over the next five years. “[As such], there will be a healthy supply of new VA originations eligible for pooling,” they said. As a result, the share of FHA relative to VA collateral in new Ginnie II pools will likely decrease, they said. Such a trend has manifested itself slowly as ...

A total of $13.6 billion of rural home loans backed by the U.S. Department of Agriculture were securitized during the first nine months of 2015, according to an Inside FHA/VA Lending analysis of agency data.An estimated $5.1 billion of USDA home loans were delivered into Ginnie Mae pools in the third quarter, up 22.8 percent from the prior quarter. In contrast, the nine-month securitization volume fell 4.4 percent from the same period of the prior year. Nine of the top 10 USDA loan securitizers reported quarter-over-quarter increases. Top-ranked Chase Home Finance maintained its lead over other USDA loan securitizers with $4.2 billion in loans securitized during the nine-month period, down 4.8 percent from the previous year and up 32.8 percent on a quarterly basis. Chase’s nine-month USDA volume translated into a 31.0 percent market share. Second-place Wells Fargo funneled $1.7 billion in USDA loans into ... [ chart ]

Greenleaf Income Trust this week priced a $135 million non-agency, nonprime MBS, the largest such offering since the housing bust. It marks the second nonprime MBS sold in the past week, and the fourth deal of the year – all of them sold as private placements with no ratings. Mike Fierman, managing partner and CEO of Angel Oak Companies, which is affiliated with Greenleaf, told Inside MBS & ABS he’s pleased with the outcome of the security. “We had broad investor participation and the transaction was oversubscribed.” Fierman said...

The Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association advised Capitol Hill that the successful government-sponsored enterprise credit risk-sharing programs could be improved to increase liquidity and investor interest. In a letter to Sen. Richard Shelby, R-AL, chairman of the Senate Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs Committee, the Wall Street group said, “Up-front risk-sharing could make housing finance more efficient and sustainable by allowing the GSEs to achieve day-one risk transfers without having to warehouse credit risk until it can be distributed in a back-end credit transfer transaction.” It added...

A precedent-setting court case decided in May has disrupted the MBS and ABS markets, according to the Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association and the Structured Finance Industry Group. The trade groups filed an amicus brief to the Supreme Court of the United States late last week, calling for the court to hear an appeal of the ruling in Madden v. Midland Funding. In May, the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit ruled that federal preemption under the National Bank Act doesn’t apply to nonbanks that purchase loans from banks. The Madden ruling subjects nonbank purchasers of loans originated by banks to state usury laws. If a bank’s preemption from such laws isn’t transferred when a nonbank acquires a loan originated by a bank, the loan can be...

The U.S. residential MBS sector will continue its slow, steady recovery in 2016 amid a host of challenges, showing further improvement in housing fundamentals, credit quality and mortgage performance, according to analysts. The challenges to MBS structured financing boil down to the following: tapering of Federal Reserve investment in MBS, MBS supply and demand, interest rates and prepayment risk. Fitch Ratings notes...

A growing number of loans are being dropped from commercial MBS deals before they reach securitization, according to Fitch Ratings. While most of the loans dropped had lower balances, under $20 million, the rating service is concerned that the unusually large amount of loan drops over the last 12 months could point to a lack of due diligence by lenders prior to sending the initial loan information to rating agencies or B-piece buyers. For example, in 28 Fitch-rated deals for the 12-month period ending June 30, 2015, about 1,000 loans were dropped, the rating service said. That number represented 30 percent of the final transaction amount. “There is...

Investor demand for rated securitizations backed by re-performing and nonperforming mortgages is increasing both in the U.S. and in Europe, according to senior analysts at Moody’s Investors Service. The analysts noted a strong pipeline of RPLs in the U.S. securitization market as investors purchase NPLs and turn them into re-performing loans. Max Saury, a senior analyst with Moody’s Structured Finance Group, estimates the current NPL market at $300 billion, excluding nonperforming non-agency MBS. There have been...

The average daily trading volume in agency MBS fell to $180.2 billion in November, hitting a new low for the year, according to the Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association. Such a low reading is indicative of a lack of liquidity in the market, but by now, investment bankers and policy makers are no longer wringing their hands about the number. The complacency, in part, is fueled...

An estimated $117.1 billion in VA-guaranteed home loans went into Ginnie Mae mortgage-backed security pools during the first nine months of 2015, according to an Inside FHA/VA Lending analysis of agency data. The totals for securitized VA purchase and refinance loans in Ginnie pools were almost even - $57.8 billion and $57.6 billion, respectively. Modified VA loans were also included in the total. The volume of VA-backed Ginnie securitization during the first nine months of 2015 far exceeded the $109.5 billion reported for all of 2014. Lenders attributed the production spike to a growing population of active-duty military personnel and veterans returning from foreign deployment and to better outreach efforts. VA originations accounted for 12.1 percent of loans underlying Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Ginnie Mae MBS and 25.2 percent of insured loans in those pools. The securitized VA loans showed an ... [ 1 chart ]