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Recession Fears Take Center Stage at ABS East Conference

October 26, 2023
Brandon Ivey
Attendance at the ABS East conference hit a record this week even as industry participants are anticipating a recession. Parts of the ABS market are offering investors better returns than corporate debt.
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Securitization Market Heavily Influenced by Banks

October 26, 2023
Brandon Ivey
Bank demand for agency MBS is weak, leading to wider spreads and losses on MBS holdings for some. Banks are also reducing their lending activity, providing an opening for nonbanks.
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Treasuries, Option-Adjusted Spread Could Point to MBS Value

October 26, 2023
Dennis Hollier
Dimensional Fund researchers argue that MBS pricing is the sum of expected returns and the option-adjusted spread.
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Andrew Davidson Launches Climate Risk Assessment Tool

October 12, 2023
Dennis Hollier
The Climate Impact Suite will allow whole-loan investors to assess expected losses due to climate risk.
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Prepayment Risk Driving Up Spreads on Agency MBS

October 5, 2023
Brandon Ivey
Ever since the Fed started its rate-hiking cycle, the spread between interest rates on loans in agency MBS and the 10-year Treasury rate has been elevated. Prepayment risk is to blame and there’s no easy fix.
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As MBS Prices Wane, A Question of Margin Calls

October 5, 2023
Paul Muolo
Margin calls from repo lenders are always a risk when collateral values decline, which is why MBS holders, like REITs, are under watch. The yield on the 10-year Treasury is at a 16-year high — that’s the bad news. The good news: This may be the peak of the cycle.
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MBS Climb in Bank Holding Company Trading Accounts

September 28, 2023
John Bancroft
JPMorgan Chase and Goldman Sachs accounted for much of the big increase in agency MBS held in bank holding company trading accounts during the second quarter. But several other companies recorded significant increases as well. (Includes two data charts.)
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REITs Retreat Slightly from MBS in Second Quarter

September 14, 2023
John Bancroft
Although REITs’ total MBS holdings were down in the second quarter, the industry recorded a modest increase in its agency MBS investment portfolio. (Includes two data charts.)
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Margin Requirements for Agency MBS Set for May Start

September 14, 2023
Brandon Ivey
FINRA plans to implement margin requirements for agency MBS transactions in May. The requirements, which have been delayed for years, will apply to broker-dealers.
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Conservatorships Turn 15, MBS Market Unscathed

September 14, 2023
Paul Muolo
MBS holdings at Fannie and Freddie are a shadow of what they used to be. Then again, being in a conservatorship that just celebrated its quinceanera will do that to you.
Read More
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