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Underwriting Loosens on Freddie Mac’s Latest Risk-Share Deals, Investors Bullish on Program

April 3, 2014
The underwriting characteristics on the latest risk-sharing transaction from Freddie Mac have loosened somewhat compared with previous Structured Agency Credit Risk deals, prompting default expectations well above those projected for recently issued jumbo MBS. However, the government-sponsored enterprises’ risk-sharing transactions are still seen as good investments and investor demand has been strong. Freddie is preparing to sell a total of $966.0 million in three tranches to investors based on a reference pool with an unpaid principal balance of $28.15 billion. The deal priced this week. Freddie said more than 75 investors bought in and the deal was oversubscribed. The top tranche on STACR 2014-DN2 available for sale to investors is set...
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Industry Groups Tell FINRA They’re Opposed to Requiring Maintenance Margin in TBA Market

April 3, 2014
Leading secondary-market representatives told the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority they generally support its goal of mitigating the counterparty credit risk borne by participants in the “to be announced” market and reducing the potential for systemic risk. But they are opposed to FINRA’s proposal to require maintenance margin to attain that aim – something the Treasury Market Practices Group has already considered and rejected. Issued back in January, FINRA’s proposed amendments stipulated that for bilateral transactions in covered agency securities with non-exempt accounts, FINRA members must collect, in addition to variation margin, maintenance margin equal to 2 percent of the market value of the securities. If sufficient margin is not collected, the member would have to deduct the uncollected amount from the member’s net capital at the close of business following the business day on which the deficiency was created. Additionally, if the deficiency in margin is not resolved...
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Looking for Higher Yield, Investors Expect To Increase Their Holdings of Esoteric ABS

March 28, 2014
Investors plan to increase their holdings in what are known as esoteric ABS – such as container, timeshare, whole business and franchise loans, structured settlements and solar and renewables – more so than consumer or commercial ABS, according to a new survey from the DBRS credit rating agency. Higher-yield opportunities are likely a key reason investors will look toward esoteric assets in a period of exceptionally low interest rates, the survey found. “Over the next 12 months, market participants are...[Includes two data charts]
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Another SFR MBS Hits the Market, But Investors Grow Leary of the Sector; Concerns Surface on Vacancies

March 28, 2014
Colony American Homes has come to market with a $513.6 million security backed by single-family rental homes, but some players in the space are starting to wonder if the returns on the bond will be anything special. Moody’s Investors Service and Kroll Bond Rating Agency rated the deal, which marks the second SFR securitization in four months. The other was a $479 million deal from Deutsche Bank and the Blackstone Group, which turned out to be oversubscribed. KBRA’s ratings on the Colony bond range...
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Johnson-Crapo Housing Finance Reform Bill Could Lead to Higher Mortgage Rates

March 27, 2014
The cost of borrowing for many homebuyers could rise as a consequence of the Senate’s newest housing finance reform legislation if it’s enacted as is, according to an analysis by Barclays. The bill, filed last week by Sens. Tim Johnson, D-SD, and Mike Crapo, R-ID, would replace Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac with a new mortgage-backed securities program for conventional mortgages that requires private investors to take the first 10 percent of losses. The Barclays analysis found...
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Fed Cuts in MBS Purchases Track Declining New Issuance As Central Bank Continues to Crowd Out Other Investors

March 21, 2014
The Federal Open Market Committee this week voted to scale back the central bank’s purchases of agency MBS again, dropping the monthly growth target to $25 billion, but the deceleration is barely keeping even with the rapid slowdown in new MBS issuance. At its December meeting, the FOMC decided to drop its MBS purchases to a pace that would add $35 billion per month, and lowered that by another $5 billion at its January meeting. The program began in late 2012 at $40 billion a month. The central bank will continue to reinvest principal and interest payments on its holdings in the agency MBS market. The most recent available data show...[Includes two data charts]
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Fed Purchases Likely Will End This Fall, Interest Rates Could Rise Six Months After

March 21, 2014
New Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen said this week that the U.S. central bank’s bond purchase program will likely end this fall as the Fed Open Market Committee announced, as expected, a further pullback in its agency MBS purchases. Beginning in April, the FOMC said it will add to its agency MBS holdings at a pace of $25 billion per month rather than $30 billion per month. If the slowdown continues at its current pace, the Fed will stop growing its MBS holdings late this summer. The FOMC also updated...
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GSE Reform in Congress, Investor Lawsuits, Impact On Industry Will Influence Housing Debate in 2014

March 21, 2014
The agreement among Republicans, Democrats and the White House for the need to act and the heightened urgency to pass legislation before a potential shift in power after the mid-term elections could determine the outlook for housing reform legislation in 2014, according to analysts. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac reform efforts in Congress and investor lawsuits are helping shape the housing debate this year, and the recently issued Johnson-Crapo draft legislation is the bill to watch going forward, said Bloomberg Industries analysts this week. The profitability of the two government-sponsored enterprises in 2013 not only fueled...
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Fannie and Freddie Could Be Worth $170 Billion in Fire Sale, But Private Investors May See Little or None of It

March 20, 2014
If Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are eventually liquidated, the federal government could reap between $170 billion and $234 billion in net proceeds, according to a new audit of the firms, but that doesn’t mean the junior preferred stockholders in the two will see a dime of that money. The newly released Johnson-Crapo mortgage finance reform bill provides no relief to investors in the junior preferred or owners of common stock in the two government-sponsored enterprises, leaving all liquidation proceeds to the U.S. Treasury, which owns the senior preferred shares. Over the past 18 months, several high-profile private-equity firms – Fairholme Capital, Pershing Square and Perry Capital, to name a few – have invested...
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REIT MBS Holdings Fell Sharply in Declining New Issuance Market Dominated by the Federal Reserve

March 14, 2014
Publicly traded real estate investment trusts reported a 13.5 percent decline in their holdings of residential MBS during the fourth quarter, according to a new Inside MBS & ABS analysis. The industry reported $264.8 billion of residential MBS at the end of 2013, a 26.4 percent drop from the fourth quarter of 2012. The five largest REIT MBS investors all reported double-digit drops during the final three months of 2013, while the mid-range companies generally had smaller declines and three smaller firms actually grew their portfolios. At the top of the table, Annaly Capital Management reported...[Includes one data chart]
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